Cummins stock
CMINYSECummins Inc., IndustrialsISIN US2310211063
68Score 68 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
28 / 100
Price history
−5.0% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 24% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 29).
The price is 37% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 76% (June 2008 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$518.85
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$598.22
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)29
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$448.58
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$727.59
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Cummins Inc. belongs to the Industrial (Machinery) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $62.43B, is number 13 of 194 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $33.67B (down 1.3% year on year) and earnings of $2.84B (down 28%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $37.65B (up 11.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $29.43 (up 23.7%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 68 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 273 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 19 (Industrial (Machinery) median 24.1, own median of recent years 16.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $654.15, with the price 29% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 35 years.Capital allocation 87
- Below fair valuePrice 29% below the fair value of $654.15.Valuation 79
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 93
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $503.19 and expensive above $934.49 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $729.57 (cash-flow model) and $578.72 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $589.67, at 7.8% it would be $751.15.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (24.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 6.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 25%, operating 12%, net 8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Feb 2027in 84 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $7.71 (expected $8.21)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $29.43−0.1%
- Revenue
- $37.65B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $34.58−0.2%
- Revenue
- $41.3B+0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +0.2%2026 revenue growth guidance raised to 10% to 13% from 8% to 11%; EBITDA margin range now 12.5% to 13.25% versus 12.5% to 13.5%.
“We now expect total company revenues to increase 10% to 13% in 2026 compared to our prior guidance of 8% to 11%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $918,385 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Cummins
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 68
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Industrial (Machinery)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Illinois Tool WorksITW $82.05B76
- Honeywell InternationalHON $72.15B66
- AB VolvoVOLV-A.ST $66.46B68
- Mitsubishi Heavy Industries7011.T $66.22B57
- PACCARPCAR $56.93B66
- SandvikSAND.ST $47.2B72
- Rockwell AutomationROK $45.2B68
- Carrier GlobalCARR $44.66B46
ETFs that hold Cummins
Held by 142 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| L&G Hydrogen Economy UCITS ETF USDHTMW | 3.45% | 0.49% | €394.28M |
| WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTEH | 2.90% | 0.23% | €2.41B |
| Xtrackers Future Mobility UCITS ETF 1CXMOV | 2.32% | 0.35% | €164.07M |
Show 5 more
| Franklin Global Quality Dividend UCITS ETFFLXX | 1.31% | 0.30% | €127.44M |
| iShares S&P 500 Industrials Sector UCITS ETF2B7C | 1.20% | 0.15% | €635.94M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Industrials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDI | 1.20% | 0.15% | €874.42M |
| UBS Factor MSCI USA Prime Value Screened UCITS ETF USD disUBUS | 1.03% | 0.25% | €127.84M |
| iShares MSCI USA Quality Dividend Advanced UCITS ETFQDVD | 0.95% | 0.35% | €777.04M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.