Carrier Global stock
CARRNYSECarrier Global Corporation, IndustrialsISIN US14448C1045
46Score 46 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
38 / 100
Price history
−4.2% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 7 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 12% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 43).
The price is 28% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 7 years: 42% (August 2021 to October 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$55.63
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$61.70
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)43
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$50.36
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$76.00
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Carrier Global Corporation belongs to the Industrial (Machinery) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $44.66B, is number 17 of 194 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $21.75B (down 3.3% year on year) and earnings of $1.48B (down 73.5%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $23.82B (up 9.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.87 (up 11.1%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 46 out of 100 (Weak): rank 855 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $66.94, with the price 18% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 9 fiscal years from 2017 to 2025.Fundamentals 70
Weaknesses
- Loss-makingLoss of $1.8B over the last 12 months.
- High debtDebt 1.14 times equity (latest quarter), Industrial (Machinery) median 0.43.Stability 55
Its standout strength is fundamentals, while technical analysis and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 45 to 46.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $51.50 and expensive above $95.63 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $55.11, at 7.8% it would be $84.75.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 3.3% on the twelve months before. Up to 2021 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 8% a year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 26%, operating 9%, net 7%. Last 12 months: net −8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Feb 2027in 84 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.87 (expected $0.76)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.7% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $2.87−0.8%
- Revenue
- $23.82B+2.2%
- Earnings per share
- $3.18−3.7%
- Revenue
- $25.25B+2.7%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: −4.7%Carrier raised its 2026 sales outlook to nearly $24 billion with about 10% organic growth, up from a bit over $23 billion previously, but lowered the CSA segment margin outlook to about 19% due to weaker price realization and higher costs.
“We now expect full-year sales to be nearly $24 billion, with organic growth of about 10%, up from our prior outlook, which was a little over $23 billion in sales.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $750M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Viessmann MaximilianSale
20 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 12,094,823
- Price
- $62.01
- Value
- $750M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Carrier Global
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 46
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Industrial (Machinery)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- CumminsCMI $63.5B68
- PACCARPCAR $56.93B66
- SandvikSAND.ST $47.2B72
- Rockwell AutomationROK $45.2B68
- Schindler HoldingSCHP.SW $43B71
- Daikin Industries,Ltd.6367.T $40.6B69
- Komatsu6301.T $34.7B66
- KONEKNEBV.HE $33.02B68
ETFs that hold Carrier Global
Held by 110 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi MSCI Smart Cities UCITS ETF ACCAMEC | 1.86% | 0.45% | €59.77M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Industrials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDI | 0.85% | 0.15% | €874.42M |
| iShares S&P 500 Industrials Sector UCITS ETF2B7C | 0.85% | 0.15% | €635.94M |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers MSCI World Industrials UCITS ETF 1CXDWI | 0.43% | 0.25% | €1.21B |
| iShares MSCI USA SRI UCITS ETFQDVR | 0.29% | 0.20% | €2.98B |
| UBS MSCI USA Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD disUIMP | 0.27% | 0.22% | €1.04B |
| Invesco Global Active ESG Equity UCITS ETFIQSE | 0.25% | 0.30% | €3.11B |
| UBS MSCI World Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD disUIMM | 0.19% | 0.22% | €6.22B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.