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Peabody Energy stock

BTUNYSE

Peabody Energy Corporation, EnergyISIN US7045511000

$17.42▲ $0.51 (+3.0%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

39Score 39 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

26 / 100

Price history

−43% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 10 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 36% below it.

Trend change

Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 25).

Distance to the high

The price is 56% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 10 years: 98% (June 2018 to November 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$23.85
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$27.22
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)25
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$16.02
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$39.50
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$2.06B
Div. yield
1.77%
12 months
Loss
Fair value
$27.29

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Peabody Energy Corporation belongs to the Coal industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.12B, is number 13 of 18 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.86B (down 8.9% year on year) and a loss of $52.9M.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.29B (up 11.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.47.
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 39 out of 100 (Weak): rank 241 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
  • Our model puts fair value at $27.29, with the price 38% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • More cash than debtCash $434.3M, financial debt $374.1M.Stability 53

Weaknesses

  • Margin fallingOperating margin 0%, average of the prior years 13% (to 2024).Profitability 12
  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.2 times.Stability 53
  • DilutionShare count up 25% since 2020.Capital allocation 47
39/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strength is valuation, while profitability and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency60% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)−3.9%
Positive free cash flow80% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price far below its 52-week high
  • high price swings
  • weak fundamentals

What lowers it

  • price not overheated over the past year

Valuation

Valuation signal

Possible value trap
Price
$16.91
Fair value
$27.29
Gap to fair value
−38%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $19.49 and expensive above $45.48 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $22.23, at 7.8% it would be $34.89.

Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50.

Valuation metrics

no data
6.1
Fair value (model)
$27.29

From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 3.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 3%, operating 0%, net −1%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.12
0.2x
1.84
Cash & equivalents
$434.3M

Debt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
4 Feb 2027in 84 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.27 (expected −$0.05)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 4.2% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20263 analysts
Earnings per share
−$0.47−102.4%
Revenue
$4.29B+0.2%
Fiscal 20273 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.63−4.2%
Revenue
$4.66B−0.7%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook lowered

Share price after the results: −5.9%

Full year metallurgical coal volumes cut by 1 million tons and costs raised to $123 to $133 per ton; PRB and seaborne thermal cost guidance were also increased.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“With that said, we've updated full year met segment volumes to reflect the 1 million ton decrease and increased cost to a range of $123 to $133 per ton.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 5 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $81,959 in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Jarboe Scott T.Sale

    1 Jun 2026, CAO and Corporate Secretary

    Shares
    2,925
    Price
    $28.02
    Value
    $81,959

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Peabody Energy

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

266 rated companies in Energy

Rank 241 of 266
241/ 266
This company
39
Sector median
60

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 266 companies12 (median 58)46 below the median
GrowthMedian of 266 companies53 (median 65)12 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 266 companies39 (median 62)23 below the median
ValuationMedian of 255 companies with a value91 (median 82)9 above the median
StabilityMedian of 266 companies53 (median 60)7 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 266 companies47 (median 48)1 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 266 companies26 (median 54)28 below the median
MomentumMedian of 266 companies12 (median 56)44 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Coal

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 18 Coal stocks

ETFs that hold Peabody Energy

Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 11 Sep 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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