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Atmos Energy stock

ATONYSE

Atmos Energy Corporation, UtilitiesISIN US0495601058

$175.65▲ $0.28 (+0.2%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

58Score 58 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

67 / 100

Price history

−1.7% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.6% above it.

Trend change

Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 55).

Distance to the high

The price is 8.7% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 39% (May 2007 to March 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$165.32
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$174.56
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)55
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$156.24
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$192.29
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$29.68B
Div. yield
2.28%
12 months
21.2
19.3
on earnings for the next twelve months ($9.12 per share)
Fair value
$139.28

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Atmos Energy Corporation belongs to the Regulated Gas industry (United States) and, with a market value of $29.68B, is number 2 of 27 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $4.7B (up 12.9% year on year) and earnings of $1.2B (up 14.9%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.13B (up 9.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $8.46 (up 12.9%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 58 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 49 of 201 in Utilities, median 54.
  • The P/E is 21.2 (Regulated Gas median 19.6, own median of recent years 19.9).
  • Our model puts fair value at $139.28, with the price 26% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 41 years.
  • High marginNet margin 28.5% over the last 12 months, Regulated Gas median 12.6%.Profitability 70
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 29% since 2020.Capital allocation 35
  • Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$2.02B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 48
  • Above fair valuePrice 26% above the fair value of $139.28.Valuation 42
58/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are stability and profitability, while valuation and capital allocation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)−144%
ROIC (12 months)6.2%
Positive free cash flow10% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly overvalued
Price
$175.65
Fair value
$139.28
Gap to fair value
+26%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $116.07 and expensive above $174.10 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $116.40 (cash-flow model) and $162.16 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.4%. At 8.4% the fair value would be $126.54, at 6.4% it would be $161.94.

Valuation metrics

3.12
14.8
Fair value (model)
$139.28
Earnings part $162.16 (earnings per share $8.28 × 19.6)

Half from the dividend model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.6).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 6.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 52%, operating 33%, net 25%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.67
9.6x
0.81
Cash & equivalents
$525.81M

The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
2 Feb 2027in 82 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.17 (expected $1.14)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20279 analysts
Earnings per share
$9.04−0.1%
Revenue
$5.58B+0.1%
Fiscal 20288 analysts
Earnings per share
$9.76−0.1%
Revenue
$6.07B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: −1.2%

The fiscal 2026 EPS guidance of $8.40 to $8.50 was reaffirmed.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Yesterday, we reported year-to-date fiscal '26 net income of $1.2 billion or $7.33 per diluted share and we reaffirmed our earnings per share guidance in the range of $8.40 to $8.50.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $50,278 in total.

  • Ware William JamesPurchase

    11 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    300
    Price
    $167.59
    Value
    $50,278

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Atmos Energy

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

201 rated companies in Utilities

Rank 49 of 201
49/ 201
This company
58
Sector median
54

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 201 companies70 (median 53)17 above the median
GrowthMedian of 201 companies65 (median 53)12 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 201 companies48 (median 52)4 below the median
ValuationMedian of 197 companies with a value42 (median 54)12 below the median
StabilityMedian of 201 companies72 (median 53)19 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 201 companies35 (median 40)5 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 201 companies67 (median 63)4 above the median
MomentumMedian of 201 companies56 (median 58)2 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Regulated Gas

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 27 Regulated Gas stocks

ETFs that hold Atmos Energy

Held by 106 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 30 Sep 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2021)
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 11 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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