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Tokyo Gas stock

9531.TJPX

Tokyo Gas Co., Ltd., UtilitiesISIN JP3573000001

$41.70▲ $1.18 (+2.9%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

70Score 70 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

65 / 100

Price history

+13% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 1.0% above it.

Trend change

Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 64).

Distance to the high

The price is 15% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 55% (March 2007 to March 2011).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$39.17
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$41.28
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)64
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$33.34
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$49.22
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$13.57B
Div. yield
1.8%
12 months
11.1
15.6
on earnings for the next twelve months ($2.67 per share)
Fair value
$42.12

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Tokyo Gas Co., Ltd. belongs to the Regulated Gas industry (Japan) and, with a market value of $13.57B, is number 7 of 27 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $17.75B (up 7.5% year on year) and earnings of $1.42B (up 205.8%).
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $19.07B (up 7.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.46 (down 40.3%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 70 out of 100 (Strong): rank 5 of 201 in Utilities, median 53.
  • The P/E is 11.1 (Regulated Gas median 17.6, own median of recent years 16.6).
  • Our model puts fair value at $42.12, with the price 1% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings per share growingUp 42.3% a year since 2021.Growth 85
  • Share buybacksShare count down 21% since 2021.Capital allocation 73
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 15 years.Capital allocation 73

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

70/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are growth and stability, while profitability holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)148%
ROIC (12 months)5.8%
Positive free cash flow80% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk not measured

How well MEQIRI warns

For stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$41.70
Fair value
$42.12
Gap to fair value
−1%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $30.09 and expensive above $70.20 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).

The two parts of the fair value come to $18.47 (cash-flow model) and $65.78 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 5.2%. At 6.2% the fair value would be $40.31, at 4.2% it would be $45.09.

Valuation metrics

2.05
7.2
Fair value (model)
$42.12
Earnings part $65.78 (earnings per share $3.75 × 17.6)

Half from the dividend model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (17.6).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 3.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 4% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 18%, operating 7%, net 8%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.69
16.3x
1.47
Cash & equivalents
$2.25B

The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
29 Jan 2027in 77 days
Last reported
29 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.21 (expected $0.22)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.0% since 23 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20275 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.46+3.0%
Revenue
$19.07B0.0%
Fiscal 20286 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.800.0%
Revenue
$19.02B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 23 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at Tokyo Gas

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

201 rated companies in Utilities

Rank 5 of 201
5/ 201
This company
70
Sector median
53

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 201 companies43 (median 53)10 below the median
GrowthMedian of 201 companies85 (median 53)32 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 201 companies78 (median 52)26 above the median
ValuationMedian of 197 companies with a value68 (median 53)15 above the median
StabilityMedian of 201 companies80 (median 53)27 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 201 companies73 (median 40)33 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 201 companies65 (median 62)3 above the median
MomentumMedian of 201 companies72 (median 57)15 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Regulated Gas

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 27 Regulated Gas stocks

ETFs that hold Tokyo Gas

Held by 89 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Xtrackers MSCI World Utilities UCITS ETF 1CXDWU0.52%0.25%€895.44M
iShares Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF USDIQQI0.41%0.65%€2.36B
Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK0.32%0.39%€190.04M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = ¥159.70)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong since 11 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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