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Alignment Healthcare stock

ALHCNASDAQ

Alignment Healthcare, Inc., HealthcareISIN US01625V1044

$7.50▼ $0.19 (−2.5%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

41Score 41 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

39 / 100

Price history

−55% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 53% below it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 43).

Distance to the high

The price is 69% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 84% (June 2021 to April 2024).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$8.79
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$16.12
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)43
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$7.00
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$24.56
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$1.61B
Div. yield
no dividend
55.5
56.5
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.14 per share)
Fair value
$16.34

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Alignment Healthcare, Inc. belongs to the Medical (Healthcare Plans) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.57B, is number 12 of 12 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.95B (up 46.1% year on year) and a loss of $724K.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.26B (up 33.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.03.
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 41 out of 100 (Weak): rank 530 of 714 in Healthcare, median 53.
  • Our model puts fair value at $16.34, with the price 53% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 32.7% a year since 2020, Medical (Healthcare Plans) median 11.9%.Growth 70
  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 288% of earnings over the last 12 months.
  • More cash than debtCash $742.95M, financial debt $330.7M.

Weaknesses

  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.9 times.Stability 39
  • Share price fell sharplyDown 54% over the last 12 months.Momentum 17
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 71% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 39
41/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strength is growth, while fundamentals and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency0% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)7.9%
Positive free cash flow14% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price far below its 52-week high
  • high price swings
  • weak fundamentals

What lowers it

  • price not overheated over the past year

Valuation

Valuation signal

Possible value trap
Price
$7.69
Fair value
$16.34
Gap to fair value
−53%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $10.89 and expensive above $32.68 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $29.49 (cash-flow model) and $3.19 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $14.02, at 7.8% it would be $19.80.

Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk, weak balance sheet.

Valuation metrics

0.8
15.9
Fair value (model)
$16.34
Earnings part $3.19 (earnings per share $0.14 × 23)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (23).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

7 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 35.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2019, at around 32% per year.

Margins

7 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 12%, operating 0%, net 0%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.19
0.9x
1.71
Cash & equivalents
$742.95M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
25 Feb 2027in 105 days
Last reported
29 Oct 2026EPS reported −$0.04 (expected −$0.04)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 121.8% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 202610 analysts
Earnings per share
−$0.03−121.8%
Revenue
$5.26B+0.9%
Fiscal 202710 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.16−52.1%
Revenue
$6.57B+1.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −18.8%

2026 revenue guidance raised to about $5.2 billion at the midpoint (up 32%), low end of adjusted gross profit raised by $10 million and low end of adjusted EBITDA by $7 million.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We are raising the low end of our adjusted gross profit range by $10 million and increasing the low end of our adjusted EBITDA guidance range by $7 million to reflect increased confidence in our full year objectives following a strong first half of the year.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $197,627 in total. 4 insiders sold, $33.42M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Kim HyongSale

    6 Oct 2026, Chief Medical Officer

    Shares
    32,479
    Price
    $8.30
    Value
    $269,576
  • Konowiecki Joseph SSale

    17 Sept 2026, EVP, Corporate Affairs

    Shares
    23,511
    Price
    $8.61
    Value
    $202,430
  • Kao John ESale

    14 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    27,400
    Price
    $13.00
    Value
    $356,200
Show 16 more
  • Maroney Dawn ChristineSale

    11 Sept 2026, President

    Shares
    122,707
    Price
    $12.68
    Value
    $1.56M
  • Kao John ESale

    11 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    385,270
    Price
    $12.68
    Value
    $4.89M
  • Kao John ESale

    10 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    172,600
    Price
    $12.96
    Value
    $2.24M
  • Maroney Dawn ChristineSale

    14 Aug 2026, President

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $14.00
    Value
    $70,000
  • Kao John ESale

    10 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    298,000
    Price
    $13.88
    Value
    $4.14M
  • Maroney Dawn ChristineSale

    15 Jul 2026, President

    Shares
    177,068
    Price
    $20.83
    Value
    $3.69M
  • Kao John ESale

    10 Jul 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    298,000
    Price
    $19.86
    Value
    $5.92M
  • Konowiecki Joseph SSale

    1 Jul 2026, EVP, Corporate Affairs

    Shares
    25,000
    Price
    $24.00
    Value
    $600,000
  • Konowiecki Joseph SSale

    26 Jun 2026, EVP, Corporate Affairs

    Shares
    25,000
    Price
    $23.00
    Value
    $575,000
  • Konowiecki Joseph SSale

    18 Jun 2026, EVP, Corporate Affairs

    Shares
    25,000
    Price
    $22.00
    Value
    $550,000
  • Maroney Dawn ChristineSale

    15 Jun 2026, President

    Shares
    30,000
    Price
    $19.55
    Value
    $586,425
  • Kim HyongSale

    12 Jun 2026, Chief Medical Officer

    Shares
    35,951
    Price
    $19.86
    Value
    $713,947
  • Konowiecki Joseph SSale

    11 Jun 2026, EVP, Corporate Affairs

    Shares
    25,000
    Price
    $21.00
    Value
    $525,000
  • Kao John ESale

    10 Jun 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    298,000
    Price
    $20.36
    Value
    $6.07M
  • Kent Mark D.Purchase

    2 Jun 2026, President - MSO

    Shares
    14,848
    Price
    $13.31
    Value
    $197,627
  • Maroney Dawn ChristineSale

    15 May 2026, President

    Shares
    30,000
    Price
    $16.09
    Value
    $482,565

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Alignment Healthcare

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

714 rated companies in Healthcare

Rank 530 of 714
530/ 714
This company
41
Sector median
53

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 714 companies35 (median 37)2 below the median
GrowthMedian of 714 companies70 (median 53)17 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 714 companies28 (median 46)18 below the median
ValuationMedian of 477 companies with a value68 (median 54)14 above the median
StabilityMedian of 714 companies39 (median 67)28 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 714 companies32 (median 39)7 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 714 companies39 (median 70)31 below the median
MomentumMedian of 714 companies17 (median 71)54 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Medical (Healthcare Plans)

The next larger companies by market value

All 12 Medical (Healthcare Plans) stocks

ETFs that hold Alignment Healthcare

Held by 14 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares Ageing Population UCITS ETF2B770.12%0.40%€807M
L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ0.12%0.30%€185.82M
iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS30.09%0.30%€2.28B
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Mar 2022)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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