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Molina Healthcare stock

MOHNYSE

Molina Healthcare, Inc., HealthcareISIN US60855R1005

$209.25▲ $2.90 (+1.4%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

50Score 50 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

77 / 100

Price history

+46% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 13% above it.

Trend change

Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 45).

Distance to the high

The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 71% (March 2024 to February 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$202.30
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$185.56
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)45
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$122.65
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$242.88
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$10.92B
Div. yield
no dividend
Loss
includes one-off items, adjusted 104.6
23.1
on earnings for the next twelve months ($9.05 per share)
Fair value
$169.69

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Molina Healthcare, Inc. belongs to the Medical (Healthcare Plans) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $10.92B, is number 7 of 12 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $45.43B (up 11.7% year on year) and earnings of $472M (down 60%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $44.72B (down 1.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $5.26 (down 50.6%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 50 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 383 of 714 in Healthcare, median 53.
  • Our model puts fair value at $169.69, with the price 23% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 18.5% a year since 2020, Medical (Healthcare Plans) median 11.9%.
  • Share buybacksShare count down 14% since 2020.Capital allocation 50
  • More cash than debtCash $8.58B, financial debt $3.95B.Stability 53

Weaknesses

  • Loss-makingLoss of $48M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 58
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 50% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 53
50/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while growth and profitability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 49 to 50.

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency90% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)1.7%
Positive free cash flow80% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high price swings

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$209.25
Fair value
$169.69
Gap to fair value
+23%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $121.21 and expensive above $282.82 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $136.89, at 7.8% it would be $219.15.

Valuation metrics

no data
18.5
Fair value (model)
$169.69

From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 2.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 18% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 9%, operating 2%, net 1%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.95
4.1x
1.69
Cash & equivalents
$8.58B

Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
4 Feb 2027in 84 days
Last reported
21 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.89 (expected $0.79)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202612 analysts
Earnings per share
$5.26+0.3%
Revenue
$44.72B+0.5%
Fiscal 202712 analysts
Earnings per share
$9.65−0.7%
Revenue
$47.6B−0.9%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −10.9%

Earnings guidance raised by $0.25 to at least $5.25 per share, driven by Medicaid and Medicare, despite the marketplace outlook being cut by $1.50.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We have increased our full year 2026 adjusted earnings guidance by $0.25 to at least $5.25 per share. This increase to our earnings guidance reflects first half performance in Medicaid.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $114,930 in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Hebert MauriceSale

    14 May 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    600
    Price
    $191.55
    Value
    $114,930

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Molina Healthcare

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

714 rated companies in Healthcare

Rank 383 of 714
383/ 714
This company
50
Sector median
53

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 714 companies14 (median 37)23 below the median
GrowthMedian of 714 companies38 (median 53)15 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 714 companies58 (median 46)12 above the median
ValuationMedian of 477 companies with a value44 (median 54)10 below the median
StabilityMedian of 714 companies53 (median 67)14 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 714 companies50 (median 39)11 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 714 companies77 (median 70)7 above the median
MomentumMedian of 714 companies78 (median 71)7 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Medical (Healthcare Plans)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 12 Medical (Healthcare Plans) stocks

ETFs that hold Molina Healthcare

Held by 15 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral since 12 Nov 2026, previously Weak
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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