Adecoagro stock
AGRONYSEAdecoagro S.A., Consumer DefensiveISIN LU0584671464
48Score 48 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
29 / 100
Price history
+11% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 16 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 18% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 29).
The price is 41% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 16 years: 74% (February 2011 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$10.43
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$11.04
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)29
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$7.13
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$15.25
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Adecoagro S.A. belongs to the Agricultural Farm Products industry (Luxembourg) and, with a market value of $1.31B, is number 17 of 24 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.43B (down 6% year on year) and a loss of $8.35M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.23B (up 56.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.54.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 48 out of 100 (Weak): rank 245 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- Our model puts fair value at $13.64, with the price 34% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Share buybacksShare count down 13% since 2020.
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 4.7%, average of the prior years 18.6% (to 2024).Profitability 29
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.9 times.Stability 43
- Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $0.01 in 2020 to −$0.08.Growth 69
Its standout strength is valuation, while technical analysis and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $9.74 and expensive above $22.73 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $11.61, at 7.8% it would be $16.67.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 6.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2007, at around 12% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 25%, operating 5%, net −1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 15 Mar 2027in 123 days
- Last reported
- 11 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.32 (expected $0.46)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 10.4% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.54+1.7%
- Revenue
- $2.23B+0.9%
- Earnings per share
- $1.31+10.4%
- Revenue
- $2.3B+0.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −3.8%Full-year 2026 results of the fertilizer segment are now expected above original projections because of higher prices, the leverage target stays in place.
“Given higher than expected prices during the first half, we expect the annual performance from this segment to be above our initial projections.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 12 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
- Leon Bentancor Oscar AlejandroSale
21 Apr 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,163
- Price
- $13.03
- Value
- $15,159
- Louis Dreyfus Kyril Robert LeonidSale
21 Apr 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,163
- Price
- $13.03
- Value
- $15,159
- Sarjanovic IvoSale
21 Apr 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,163
- Price
- $13.03
- Value
- $15,159
Show 5 more
- Vaz Artigas ManuelaSale
21 Apr 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,163
- Price
- $13.03
- Value
- $15,159
- Larriera Andres EduardoSale
21 Apr 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,163
- Price
- $13.03
- Value
- $15,159
- Deprati Christian Ferdinando EmilioSale
21 Apr 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,163
- Price
- $13.03
- Value
- $15,159
- Vaz Artigas ManuelaSale
7 Apr 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $15.03
- Value
- $15,031
- Bosch MarianoSale
19 Mar 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 100,000
- Price
- $14.50
- Value
- $1.45M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Adecoagro
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 48
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Agricultural Farm Products
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- AndersonsANDE $1.84B49
- UIE PlcUIE.CO $1.78B79
- DoleDOLE $1.35B57
- Del MonteDMC $1.32B44
- SipefSIP.BR $1.27B81
- Måsøval ASMAS.OL $500.85M46
- Vital FarmsVITL $406.6M38
- Forafric GlobalAFRI $351.07M37
ETFs that hold Adecoagro
Held by 1 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi Global Bioenergy UCITS ETF EUR AccWDNR | 0.27% | 0.35% | €151.65M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.