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Tokyu Fudosan Holdings stock

3289.TJPX

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation, Real EstateISIN JP3569200003

$7.61▲ $0.24 (+3.2%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

54Score 54 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

38 / 100

Price history

−11% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 13 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 9.4% below it.

Trend change

Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 51).

Distance to the high

The price is 23% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 13 years: 62% (October 2013 to July 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$7.83
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$8.41
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)51
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$7.38
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$9.94
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$5.26B
Div. yield
4.34%
12 months
9.1
7.8
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.94 per share)
Fair value
$16.31

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Tokyu Fudosan Holdings Corporation belongs to the Real Estate (Diversified) industry (Japan) and, with a market value of $5.43B, is number 6 of 13 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $7.83B (up 8.3% year on year) and earnings of $607.26M (up 24.7%).
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $8.81B (up 12.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.91 (up 7.4%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 54 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 174 of 327 in Real Estate, median 55.
  • The P/E is 9.4 (Real Estate (Diversified) median 13, own median of recent years 11.7).
  • Our model puts fair value at $16.31, with the price 55% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings per share growingUp 35.1% a year since 2021.Growth 82
  • Below fair valuePrice 55% below the fair value of $16.31.Valuation 86
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.

Weaknesses

  • High debtDebt 2.06 times equity (latest quarter), Real Estate sector median 0.66.Stability 52
54/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and growth, while profitability and technical analysis hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 55 to 54.

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)30%
ROIC (12 months)4.5%
Positive free cash flow50% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk not measured

How well MEQIRI warns

For stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$7.38
Fair value
$16.31
Gap to fair value
−55%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $11.65 and expensive above $27.18 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).

The two parts of the fair value come to $22.10 (cash-flow model) and $10.52 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.5%. At 8.5% the fair value would be $14.47, at 6.5% it would be $18.85.

Valuation metrics

1.81
10.8
Fair value (model)
$16.31
Earnings part $10.52 (earnings per share $0.81 × 13)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (13).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 6.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 4% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 17%, operating 13%, net 8%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
2.06
8x
0.85
Cash & equivalents
$1.22B

Meaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
5 Feb 2027in 85 days
Last reported
6 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.07 (expected $0.18)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 22 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202711 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.91−0.2%
Revenue
$8.81B−0.7%
Fiscal 202811 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.96−0.3%
Revenue
$8.95B−0.7%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 22 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at Tokyu Fudosan Holdings

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

327 rated companies in Real Estate

Rank 174 of 327
174/ 327
This company
54
Sector median
55

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 327 companies41 (median 57)16 below the median
GrowthMedian of 327 companies82 (median 55)27 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 327 companies49 (median 62)13 below the median
ValuationMedian of 315 companies with a value86 (median 68)18 above the median
StabilityMedian of 327 companies52 (median 56)4 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 327 companies42 (median 32)10 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 327 companies38 (median 59)21 below the median
MomentumMedian of 327 companies42 (median 51)9 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Real Estate (Diversified)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 13 Real Estate (Diversified) stocks

ETFs that hold Tokyu Fudosan Holdings

Held by 29 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares MSCI Japan Small Cap UCITS ETFIUS40.36%0.58%€547.15M
iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG0.20%0.35%€434.1M
L&G Japan Equity UCITS ETFETLR0.10%0.10%€948.24M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = ¥159.23)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 21 Mar 2025)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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