China Hongqiao Group stock
1378.HKHKSEChina Hongqiao Group Limited, Basic MaterialsISIN KYG211501005
69Score 69 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
42 / 100
Price history
−41% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 16 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 29% below it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 59).
The price is 50% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 16 years: 77% (November 2017 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$2.66
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$3.55
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)59
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$2.29
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$5.11
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- China Hongqiao Group Limited belongs to the Aluminum industry (China) and, with a market value of $24.56B, is the largest of 18 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $24.35B (up 4% year on year) and earnings of $3.39B (up 1.2%).
- MEQIRI Score 69 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 85 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
Show more
- The P/E is 6.3 (Aluminum median 7.1, own median of recent years 6.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $4.12, with the price 39% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 8.28%, Aluminum median 3.27%.Capital allocation 57
- Below fair valuePrice 39% below the fair value of $4.12.Valuation 94
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 91
Weaknesses
- Share price fell sharplyDown 33% over the last 12 months.Momentum 17
- Volatile share priceVolatility 47% a year over the last 12 months.
- DilutionShare count up 10% since 2020.Capital allocation 57
Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk not measured
How well MEQIRI warnsFor stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $2.94 and expensive above $6.86 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $5.40 (cash-flow model) and $2.83 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.9%. At 8.9% the fair value would be $3.75, at 6.9% it would be $4.65.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (7.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 3.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2009, at around 20% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 25%, operating 22%, net 14%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 19 Mar 2027in 126 days
- Last reported
- 21 Aug 2026EPS reported 2 (expected 2.28)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 27 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 3.51+0.2%
- Revenue
- $26.62B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- 3.28+0.7%
- Revenue
- $26.17B+0.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 27 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at China Hongqiao Group
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
461 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 69
- Sector median
- 57
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aluminum
The next smaller companies by market value
- Hindalco IndustriesHINDALCO.NS $23.03B62
- Aluminum Corporation of China601600.SS $19.83B68
- Vedanta Aluminium MetalVAML.NS $15.87B41
- Norsk HydroNHY.OL $14.3B62
- Yunnan Aluminium000807.SZ $12.12B68
- AlcoaAA $10.68B61
- Guangdong Hec Technologyholding600673.SS $10.62B31
- Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power000933.SZ $8.2B70
ETFs that hold China Hongqiao Group
Held by 52 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares China Large Cap UCITS ETFIQQC | 0.73% | 0.74% | €697.51M |
| Amundi MSCI China ESG Selection Extra UCITS ETF AccLCHI | 0.66% | 0.65% | €564.13M |
| Franklin EM Multi-Factor Equity UCITS ETFFLXE | 0.59% | 0.30% | €102.64M |
Show 5 more
| iShares Dow Jones China Offshore 50 UCITS ETF (DE)EXXU | 0.56% | 0.62% | €40.6M |
| iShares BIC 50 UCITS ETFIQQ9 | 0.45% | 0.74% | €98.42M |
| Deka MSCI China ex A Shares UCITS ETFEL46 | 0.44% | 0.65% | €73.86M |
| VanEck S&P Global Mining UCITS ETF A USDWMIN | 0.40% | 0.50% | €1.97B |
| HSBC MSCI China UCITS ETFH4ZP | 0.35% | 0.28% | €865.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = HK$7.8782, $1 = CN¥6.6683)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 14 Aug 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.