Accelink Technologies Co,Ltd. stock: fair value
002281.SZThe fair value of Accelink Technologies Co,Ltd. under our model is $5.52, the price is 181% above.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $3.68 and expensive above $11.04 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $2.23 (cash-flow model) and $8.81 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.5%. At 9.5% the fair value would be $5.37, at 7.5% it would be $5.73.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.8).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.3%. Discounted at 8.5% (government bond yield 2.3% plus beta 1.2 times a risk premium of 5.2%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $2.23 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 8.5%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 8.5%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $127.94M | extrapolated at −4.5% | 0.9217 | $117.92M |
| 2027 | $124.76M | extrapolated at −2.5% | 0.8496 | $105.99M |
| 2028 | $123.45M | extrapolated at −1.1% | 0.7831 | $96.67M |
| 2029 | $123.4M | extrapolated at 0.0% | 0.7218 | $89.07M |
| 2030 | $124.22M | extrapolated at 0.7% | 0.6653 | $82.65M |
| 2031 | $125.66M | extrapolated at 1.2% | 0.6132 | $77.06M |
| 2032 | $127.55M | extrapolated at 1.5% | 0.5652 | $72.1M |
| 2033 | $129.78M | extrapolated at 1.8% | 0.5210 | $67.61M |
| 2034 | $132.27M | extrapolated at 1.9% | 0.4802 | $63.51M |
| 2035 | $134.96M | extrapolated at 2.0% | 0.4426 | $59.73M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $832.32M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 2.3%) / (8.5% − 2.3%) | $2.23B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.4426) | $988.55M |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $1.82B |
| Shares (diluted) | 818.13M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $2.23 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $0.28 |
| × 31.8 (industry P/E) | $8.81 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $5.52 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = CN¥6.6683)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Apr 2023)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.