ZTO Express (Cayman) stock
ZTONYSEZTO Express (Cayman) Inc., IndustrialsISIN US98980A1051
72Score 72 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
59 / 100
Price history
+6.9% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 10 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 10% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 59).
The price is 21% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 10 years: 58% (June 2020 to February 2024).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$20.19
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$22.81
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)59
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$18.86
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$25.88
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. belongs to the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry (China) and, with a market value of $15.42B, is number 12 of 36 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- This is an American depositary receipt (ADR).
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $7.16B (up 7.9% year on year) and earnings of $1.32B (up 0.2%).
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- MEQIRI Score 72 out of 100 (Strong): rank 147 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 10.8 (Integrated Freight & Logistics median 20.8, own median of recent years 22.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $53.99, with the price 62% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 62% below the fair value of $53.99.Valuation 94
- Modestly valuedP/E 10.8, Integrated Freight & Logistics median 20.8, own median 22.2.Valuation 94
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 75
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while momentum holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $44.99 and expensive above $67.49 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $68.77 (cash-flow model) and $39.22 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.3%. At 8.3% the fair value would be $47.80, at 6.3% it would be $63.32.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (20.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 16.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2014, at around 26% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 25%, operating 20%, net 18%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Nov 2026in 5 days
- Last reported
- 18 Aug 2026above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 13.72+0.4%
- Revenue
- $8.67B+0.2%
- Earnings per share
- 15.28+0.4%
- Revenue
- $9.43B+0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at ZTO Express (Cayman)
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 72
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Integrated Freight & Logistics
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- S.F. Holding002352.SZ $23.03B61
- J.B. Hunt Transport ServicesJBHT $21.22B68
- FedEx Freight HoldingFDXF $19.83B48
- C.H. Robinson WorldwideCHRW $15.51B59
- J&T Global Express1519.HK $11.59B59
- HYUNDAI GLOVIS086280.KS $11.25B72
- YTO Express Group600233.SS $9.35B67
- Nippon Express Holdings,Inc.9147.T $8.34B57
ETFs that hold ZTO Express (Cayman)
Held by 47 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deka MSCI China ex A Shares UCITS ETFEL46 | 0.37% | 0.65% | €74.12M |
| HSBC MSCI China UCITS ETFH4ZP | 0.34% | 0.28% | €865.21M |
| Franklin FTSE China UCITS ETFFLXC | 0.32% | 0.19% | €1.3B |
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| JPMorgan Global Emerging Markets Research Enhanced Index Equity Active UCITS ETFJREM | 0.24% | 0.30% | €2.41B |
| Franklin EM Multi-Factor Equity UCITS ETFFLXE | 0.24% | 0.30% | €102.26M |
| UBS MSCI China Universal UCITS ETF USD disUETC | 0.19% | 0.30% | €134.65M |
| Amundi MSCI EM Asia ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF AccLCUA | 0.15% | 0.25% | €628.34M |
| iShares MSCI EM CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFEDM2 | 0.10% | 0.18% | €7.09B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CN¥6.6707)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.