XTB stock: fair value
XTB.WAThe fair value of XTB under our model is $33.24, the price is 5% above.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $25.57 and expensive above $47.49 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $23.07 (excess return model) and $43.41 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 14.4%. At 15.4% the fair value would be $32.07, at 13.4% it would be $34.71.
Where the number comes from
Half from the excess return model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.3).
Excess return model for banks and insurers: book value plus the value of returns above the cost of equity of 14.4% (government bond yield 5.6% plus beta 1.66 times a risk premium of 5.3%).
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the excess return model arrives at $23.07 per share: book value plus the value of what the company earns above its cost of equity over time. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Book value per share | $5.48 |
| Stable earnings per share (book value × median return on equity of the last five fiscal years) | $2.34 |
| Return on equity in the model (median of the last five fiscal years) | 42.8% |
| Cost of equity | 14.4% |
| Excess return per share: (return − cost) × book value | $1.55 |
| Terminal value of excess returns: excess return / (14.4% − 5.6%) | $17.59 |
| Value per share (book value plus terminal value) | $23.07 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $3.04 |
| × 14.3 (industry P/E) | $43.41 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $33.24 |
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = PLN 3.9742)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2021)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.
