Weyerhaeuser stock
WYNYSEWeyerhaeuser Company, Real EstateISIN US9621661043
45Score 45 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
59 / 100
Price history
−9.2% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 12% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 57).
The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 84% (March 2007 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$20.41
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$23.44
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)57
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$18.47
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$27.08
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Weyerhaeuser Company belongs to the REIT (Specialty) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $14.88B, is number 8 of 16 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $6.91B (down 3.1% year on year) and earnings of $324M (down 18.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $7.15B (up 3.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.25 (up 23.8%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 45 out of 100 (Weak): rank 265 of 327 in Real Estate, median 55.
- The P/E is 32.9 (REIT (Specialty) median 32.9, own median of recent years 30.2).
- For real estate investment trusts (REITs) what counts is funds from operations (FFO and AFFO). The P/E and the payout ratio of earnings say little here, because depreciation on properties depresses earnings.
- Our model puts fair value at $13.69, with the price 51% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 49% a year through 2028 (estimates from 8 analysts).
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 6.7%, average of the prior years 22.7% (to 2024).Profitability 33
- Above fair valuePrice 51% above the fair value of $13.69.Valuation 47
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$10M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 57
The score is held back by profitability and growth.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 44 to 45.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $10.53 and expensive above $19.56 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $15.24 (cash-flow model) and $12.14 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $12.41, at 7.8% it would be $15.61.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from operating cash flow per share times the median price to cash flow of the REIT industry (16.5). For the fair value, FFO only counts when it is in line with operating cash flow. That is not the case here, for example because the REIT carries its properties at market value, records little depreciation or a gain on sale sits in earnings. The cash-flow model uses AFFO: operating cash flow less maintenance, estimated at 4% of revenue. New construction and acquisitions do not count as running costs there.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 1.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has declined since 2006 (-5% per year), so it is worth watching closely.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 7%, operating 7%, net 5%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 28 Jan 2027in 77 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.08 (expected $0.04)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 30.1% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.25−15.3%
- Revenue
- $7.15B−0.6%
- Earnings per share
- $0.43−30.1%
- Revenue
- $7.56B−2.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: +7.4%Segment adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 raised to about $450 million (up $25 million), but lower third quarter earnings expected in real estate sales and wood products.
“As a result, we are increasing segment guidance for full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA to approximately $450 million, an increase of $25 million from prior guidance.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 31 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Weyerhaeuser
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
327 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 45
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in REIT (Specialty)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Crown CastleCCI $37.89B54
- Iron MountainIRM $33.49B46
- SBA CommunicationsSBAC $19.84B69
- Lamar AdvertisingLAMR $16.51B72
- Gaming and Leisure PropertiesGLPI $11.42B60
- Rayonier Inc. REITRYN $6.41B50
- Outfront MediaOUT $5.93B64
- EPR PropertiesEPR $4.55B64
ETFs that hold Weyerhaeuser
Held by 84 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.31% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.20% | 0.75% | €140.24M |
| Xtrackers S&P 500 Equal Weight UCITS ETF 2C EUR HedgedXDEE | 0.18% | 0.30% | €14.88B |
Show 5 more
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.18% | 0.30% | €51.58M |
| JPM Global Equity Multi-Factor UCITS ETF USD AccJPGL | 0.16% | 0.19% | €278.91M |
| iShares MSCI World Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETF USDIS3T | 0.13% | 0.30% | €408.01M |
| Invesco RAFI US Fundamental Value UCITS ETF6PSA | 0.08% | 0.39% | €1.23B |
| iShares Dow Jones Global Leaders Screened UCITS ETF USD (Acc)IUSL | 0.08% | 0.60% | €2.02B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 25 Oct 2024)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.