Vonovia stock
VNA.DEXETRAVonovia SE, Real EstateISIN DE000A1ML7J1WKN A1ML7J
46Score 46 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
42 / 100
Price history
−35% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 13 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 20% below it.
Since August 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 57).
The price is 41% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 13 years: 73% (September 2020 to March 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$19.02
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$23.43
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)57
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$17.78
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$31.92
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Vonovia SE belongs to the Real Estate (Services) industry (Germany) and, with a market value of $15.97B, is number 4 of 46 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- MEQIRI Score 46 out of 100 (Weak): rank 252 of 327 in Real Estate, median 55.
- The P/E is 10.7 (Real Estate (Services) median 13.6, own median of recent years 10.3).
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- Our model puts fair value at $16.49, with the price 15% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 7.35%, Real Estate (Services) median 3.36%.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 20% since 2020.Capital allocation 20
- Share price fell sharplyDown 36% over the last 12 months.Momentum 26
The score is held back by momentum and capital allocation.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $11.78 and expensive above $27.48 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $8.90 (cash-flow model) and $24.07 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.6%. At 11.6% the fair value would be $16.15, at 9.6% it would be $16.91.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (13.6).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 0.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 7% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 50%, operating 36%, net 75%. Last 12 months: net 27%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Feb 2027in 98 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.30 (expected $0.51)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.00−0.1%
- Revenue
- $3.88B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $1.93−1.1%
- Revenue
- $3.99B−0.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +4.2%Vonovia trimmed its year end 2026 organic rent growth guidance to 3.8% and now sees adjusted earnings broadly flat in 2027 and 2028, with 2028 adjusted EBITDA only at the lower end of its earlier ambition range.
“On the basis of somewhat softer-than-expected Mietspiegel recently and lower development-to-hold completions, we are also trimming the year-end organic rent growth guidance to now 3.8%. For adjusted EBITDA total, we expect to land in the bottom half of the range, as we indicated in our H1 call.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 4 Nov 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Vonovia
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
327 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 46
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Real Estate (Services)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- CBRE GroupCBRE $38.79B58
- KE HoldingsBEKE $20.79B57
- Jones Lang LaSalleJLL $17B74
- Wharf Real Estate Investment1997.HK $12.37B54
- CoStar GroupCSGP $12.18B43
- China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services1209.HK $12.06B81
- CompassCOMP $7.77B46
- FirstServiceFSV $6.54B60
ETFs that hold Vonovia
Held by 148 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares European Property Yield UCITS ETFIQQP | 10.22% | 0.40% | €762.78M |
| Xtrackers FTSE Developed Europe ex UK Real Estate UCITS ETF 1CXREA | 9.29% | 0.33% | €18.23M |
| State Street SPDR FTSE EPRA Europe ex UK Real Estate UCITS ETFZPRP | 9.21% | 0.30% | €113.99M |
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| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Real Estate UCITS ETF (DE)EXI5 | 8.50% | 0.46% | €59.96M |
| Xtrackers FTSE Developed Europe Real Estate UCITS ETF 1CD5BK | 6.27% | 0.33% | €639.74M |
| First Trust Germany AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGG | 3.34% | 0.75% | €7.02M |
| Amundi DivDax II UCITS ETF DistE903 | 2.22% | 0.25% | €66.94M |
| iShares DAX ESG UCITS ETF (DE)EXIA | 1.42% | 0.12% | €141.64M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.