Vallourec stock
VK.PAPARVallourec S.A., Basic MaterialsISIN FR0013506730
62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
59 / 100
Price history
+18% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 6.0% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 68).
The price is 29% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 100% (June 2007 to October 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$20.70
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$22.88
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)68
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$16.99
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$30.30
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Vallourec S.A. belongs to the Steel industry (France) and, with a market value of $5.72B, is number 28 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $4.22B (down 5.6% year on year) and earnings of $392.27M (down 21.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.14B (down 2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.38 (down 38%).
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- MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 177 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
- The P/E is 12.8 (Steel median 17.2, own median of recent years 9.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $44.93, with the price 52% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 46.5% a year since 2021.Growth 64
- Below fair valuePrice 52% below the fair value of $44.93.Valuation 97
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 25.4% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).Growth 64
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 95% since 2021.Capital allocation 44
Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while capital allocation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $32.09 and expensive above $74.88 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $60.90 (cash-flow model) and $28.95 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.3%. At 9.3% the fair value would be $39.70, at 7.3% it would be $52.51.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (17.2).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 17% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 24%, operating 15%, net 9%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 20 Nov 2026in 7 days
- Last reported
- 30 Jul 2026EPS reported $0.19 (expected $0.28)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.38+0.1%
- Revenue
- $4.14B−1.3%
- Earnings per share
- $2.15+0.1%
- Revenue
- $4.86B−0.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −1.8%Third quarter EBITDA expected at $170 million to $210 million (second quarter $190 million), with a wider range because of Middle East uncertainty.
“As a result, we expect Q3 EBITDA to range between $170 million-$210 million, with a wider range reflecting the increased uncertainty related to the renewed hostilities in the Strait of Hormuz.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Vallourec
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
461 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 62
- Sector median
- 57
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Steel
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- NMDCNMDC.NS $6.64B67
- APL Apollo TubesAPLAPOLLO.NS $6.57B72
- Jindal StainlessJSL.NS $6.22B62
- WelspunWELCORP.NS $6.04B71
- AcerinoxACX.MC $4.4B44
- Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V.SIM $4.08B53
- SalzgitterSZG.DE $3.02B45
- AperamAPAM.AS $2.81B51
ETFs that hold Vallourec
Held by 28 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares EURO STOXX Small UCITS ETFIQQS | 1.43% | 0.40% | €407.46M |
| Amundi STOXX Europe 600 Energy ESG ScreenedLOGS | 1.10% | 0.30% | €266.34M |
| UBS MSCI EMU Small Cap UCITS ETF EUR disUEFD | 0.66% | 0.28% | €630.46M |
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| iShares STOXX Europe Small 200 UCITS ETF (DE)EXSE | 0.60% | 0.20% | €632.25M |
| Ossiam Europe ESG Machine LearningOSX4 | 0.56% | 0.65% | €68.34M |
| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Oil & Gas UCITS ETF (DE)EXH1 | 0.49% | 0.47% | €639.45M |
| Xtrackers MSCI Europe Small Cap UCITS ETF 1CXXSC | 0.24% | 0.30% | €3.45B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR AccZPRX | 0.22% | 0.30% | €813.64M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Sep 2023)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.