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UBM Development stock

UBS.VIVIE

UBM Development AG, Real EstateISIN AT0000815402

$16.68▲ $0.33 (+2.0%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

34Score 34 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

46 / 100

Price history

−35% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 13% below it.

Trend change

Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 59).

Distance to the high

The price is 35% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 73% (January 2020 to October 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$17.59
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$19.08
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)59
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$15.24
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$25.71
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$122.58M
Div. yield
no dividend
561.5
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
7.9
on earnings for the next twelve months ($2.11 per share)
Fair value
$4.53

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • UBM Development AG belongs to the Real Estate (Development) industry (Austria) and, with a market value of $122.58M, is number 83 of 83 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $154.25M (up 31% year on year) and a loss of $2.43M.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $175.01M (up 13.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.09.
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 34 out of 100 (Weak): rank 311 of 325 in Real Estate, median 55.
  • The P/E is 561.5 (Real Estate (Development) median 11.5, own median of recent years 8).
  • Our model puts fair value at $4.53, with the price 268% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 78.4% a year through 2028 (estimates from 3 analysts).

Weaknesses

  • Richly valuedP/E 561.5, Real Estate (Development) median 11.5, own median 8.Valuation 16
  • Above fair valuePrice 268% above the fair value of $4.53.Valuation 16
  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.5 times.Stability 45
34/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

The score is held back by growth and valuation.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 33 to 34.

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency70% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)62%
ROIC (12 months)1.9%
Positive free cash flow0% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals
  • price far below its 52-week high

What lowers it

  • low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly overvalued
Price
$16.68
Fair value
$4.53
Gap to fair value
+268%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $3.24 and expensive above $7.55 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).

The two parts of the fair value come to $8.72 (cash-flow model) and $0.34 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.7%. At 12.7% the fair value would be $4.10, at 10.7% it would be $5.06.

Valuation metrics

7.17
18.2
Fair value (model)
$4.53
Earnings part $0.34 (earnings per share $0.03 × 11.5)

Half from the dividend model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.5).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 30.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has changed sharply in recent years: $154.25M in 2025 after $94.54M in 2023.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 18%, operating 11%, net −2%. Last 12 months: net 5%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
3.21
0.5x
2.08
Cash & equivalents
$93.48M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
26 Nov 2026in 13 days
Last reported
27 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.43

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 26 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20264 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.090.0%
Revenue
$175.01M0.0%
Fiscal 20274 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.420.0%
Revenue
$221.09M0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 26 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at UBM Development

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

325 rated companies in Real Estate

Rank 311 of 325
311/ 325
This company
34
Sector median
55

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 325 companies31 (median 58)27 below the median
GrowthMedian of 325 companies21 (median 54)33 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 325 companies37 (median 62)25 below the median
ValuationMedian of 314 companies with a value16 (median 68)52 below the median
StabilityMedian of 325 companies45 (median 57)12 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 325 companies45 (median 32)13 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 325 companies46 (median 59)13 below the median
MomentumMedian of 325 companies28 (median 51)23 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Real Estate (Development)

The next larger companies by market value

All 83 Real Estate (Development) stocks

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 May 2022)
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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