TUI stock
TUI1.DEXETRATUI AG, Consumer CyclicalISIN DE000TUAG505WKN TUAG50
59Score 59 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
60 / 100
Price history
−0.7% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 7.1% above it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 83).
The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 92% (May 2007 to October 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$7.61
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$7.86
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)83
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$6.83
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$10.45
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- TUI AG belongs to the Travel Services industry (Germany) and, with a market value of $4.27B, is number 12 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $26.79B (up 4.4% year on year) and earnings of $704.64M (up 25.4%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $26.02B (down 2.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.14 (down 11.3%).
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- MEQIRI Score 59 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 340 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 6.4 (Travel Services median 16.8, own median of recent years 7).
- Our model puts fair value at $24.72, with the price 66% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 23.9% in fiscal 2025, Travel Services median 10.8%.Profitability 53
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 20.9% a year through 2028 (estimates from 10 analysts).Growth 70
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 143% since 2020.Capital allocation 31
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.5 times.Stability 35
Its standout strengths are valuation and growth, while stability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 60 to 59.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $19.01 and expensive above $35.31 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $27.36 (cash-flow model) and $22.08 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.6%. At 11.6% the fair value would be $23.43, at 9.6% it would be $26.34.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (16.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue fell 1.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 9%, operating 5%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 9 Dec 2026in 26 days
- Last reported
- 12 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.17 (expected $0.22)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.490.0%
- Revenue
- $26.83B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $1.800.0%
- Revenue
- $27.52B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −2.6%Guidance confirmed: 2026 EBIT of EUR 1.1 billion to EUR 1.4 billion, bookings are recovering after the war-related impact.
“So having said that and seeing that the business is coming back, bookings are coming back considerably, we are able to confirm the guidance, EUR 1.1 billion to EUR 1.4 billion.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 12 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
What happened at TUI
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 59
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Travel Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Hanjin Kal180640.KS $10.16B43
- Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsNCLH $8.29B53
- MakeMyTripMMYT $4.8B53
- Travel + LeisureTNL $4.71B70
- Lindblad Expeditions HoldingsLIND $2.24B51
- HBX Group International PlcHBX.MC $2.19B71
- SkiStarSKIS-B.ST $1.5B70
- Pursuit Attractions and HospitalityPRSU $1.47B58
ETFs that hold TUI
Held by 44 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deka STOXX Europe Strong Value 20 UCITS ETFEL4D | 5.17% | 0.65% | €56.1M |
| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Travel & Leisure UCITS ETF (DE)EXV9 | 3.27% | 0.46% | €66.58M |
| Amundi MDAX ESG UCITS ETFC007 | 2.73% | 0.30% | €182.95M |
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| Deka STOXX Europe Strong Style Composite 40 UCITS ETFEL4E | 2.70% | 0.66% | €37.31M |
| Xtrackers MDAX ESG Screened UCITS ETF 1DXDGM | 2.67% | 0.40% | €74.76M |
| iShares MDAX UCITS ETF (DE)EXID | 2.32% | 0.51% | €30.68M |
| iShares EURO STOXX Small UCITS ETFIQQS | 1.13% | 0.40% | €407.46M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR AccZPRX | 0.84% | 0.30% | €813.64M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 30 Sep 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jan 2024)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.