TC Energy stock
TRPNYSETC Energy Corporation, EnergyISIN CA87807B1076
53Score 53 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
64 / 100
Price history
+20% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.4% above it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 66).
The price is 9.3% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 48% (November 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$61.40
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$64.06
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)66
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$53.10
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$70.91
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- TC Energy Corporation belongs to the Oil & Gas Midstream industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $66.99B, is number 5 of 38 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $10.67B (up 10.3% year on year) and earnings of $2.47B (down 25.2%).
- MEQIRI Score 53 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 179 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
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- The P/E is 24.6 (Oil & Gas Midstream median 14.5, own median of recent years 16.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $62.98, with the price 2% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 62
Weaknesses
- Richly valuedP/E 24.6, Oil & Gas Midstream median 14.5, own median 16.3.Valuation 49
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.6 times.Stability 45
- DilutionShare count up 11% since 2020.Capital allocation 27
Its standout strength is profitability, while growth and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
What lowers it
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $44.99 and expensive above $104.97 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $88.23 (cash-flow model) and $37.73 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.2%. At 9.2% the fair value would be $55.05, at 7.2% it would be $74.92.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 31.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 50%, operating 44%, net 23%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 12 Feb 2027in 92 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported 0.67 (expected 0.64)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 3.85+2.5%
- Revenue
- $11.43B+1.9%
- Earnings per share
- 4+1.8%
- Revenue
- $11.97B+1.7%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +0.2%2026 comparable EBITDA now targeted at the upper end of the $11.6 billion to $11.8 billion range; the long term North American gas demand outlook was also raised.
“Turning to our comparable EBITDA outlook, we are now targeting the upper end of our 2026 range of $11.6 billion to $11.8 billion, reflecting the strong operational performance our teams have delivered year-to-date and our high degree of confidence in our execution plans for the balance of the year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at TC Energy
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 53
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Midstream
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- EnbridgeENB $106.79B50
- Williams CompaniesWMB $86.16B56
- Enterprise Products PartnersEPD $80.14B67
- Kinder MorganKMI $70.37B60
- Targa ResourcesTRGP $62.6B62
- Cheniere EnergyLNG $62.18B71
- MPLX LpMPLX $57.51B66
- ONEOKOKE $55.59B64
ETFs that hold TC Energy
Held by 58 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xtrackers MSCI Canada Screened UCITS ETF 1CD5BH | 3.96% | 0.35% | €1.2B |
| Amundi S&P World Energy Screened UCITS ETF Accum DR EURWELN | 2.30% | 0.18% | €452.21M |
| UBS MSCI Canada UCITS ETF CAD disUIM9 | 2.18% | 0.33% | €2.06B |
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| iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETFSXR2 | 2.12% | 0.48% | €2.15B |
| iShares Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF Accum USDCBUX | 1.97% | 0.65% | €217.04M |
| iShares MSCI World Energy Sector UCITS ETF USD5MVW | 1.77% | 0.18% | €1.31B |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Energy UCITS ETF 1CXDW0 | 1.76% | 0.25% | €1.83B |
| State Street SPDR S&P Global Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)ZPRG | 1.05% | 0.45% | €1.63B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CA$1.4235)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 21 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.