Triple Flag Precious Metals stock
TFPMNYSETriple Flag Precious Metals Corp., Basic MaterialsISIN CA89679M1041
64Score 64 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
63 / 100
Price history
+3.4% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 5 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 3.4% below it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 59).
The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 5 years: 36% (April 2022 to July 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$31.31
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$32.48
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)59
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$26.85
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$41.36
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. belongs to the Other Precious Metals industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $6.46B, is number 7 of 29 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- MEQIRI Score 64 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 151 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High marginNet margin 82.6% over the last 12 months, Other Precious Metals median 10.1%.Profitability 75
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 28.6% a year since 2020, Other Precious Metals median 15.5%.Growth 88
- Earnings per share growingUp 27.2% a year since 2020.Growth 88
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 31% since 2020.Capital allocation 41
- Margin may fall backOperating margin 59.3%, average of the prior years 30.8%, which ranged from −6.7% to 45.7%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$65.42M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 36
Its standout strengths are growth and stability, while capital allocation and fundamentals hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 65 to 64.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedA fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.
Valuation metrics
The model puts the fair value at less than a quarter of the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 45.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue turned from negative at the start of the period to positive ($395.51M in the latest year).
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 68%, operating 59%, net 62%. Last 12 months: net 83%.
Debt & balance sheet
Fiscal 2025The balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Feb 2027in 97 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.26 (expected $0.23)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 8.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.32−3.0%
- Revenue
- $502.03M−0.7%
- Earnings per share
- $1.39−8.0%
- Revenue
- $582.57M−1.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +4.3%2026 guidance raised to 100,000 to 110,000 gold equivalent ounces, and the 2030 outlook raised to 150,000 to 160,000.
“And third, on the strength of these two developments, we increased our 2026 GEO guidance to 100,000 to 110,000 ounces and raised our 2030 outlook to 150,000 to 160,000 GEOs.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Triple Flag Precious Metals
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 64
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Other Precious Metals
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- China Gold International ResourcesCGG.TO $8.78B76
- Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium Industry Co.,LTD002428.SZ $7.63B52
- Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.BVN $6.63B66
- Sibanye StillwaterSBSW $6.51B52
- Inner Mongolia Xingye Mining000426.SZ $6.28B62
- Mitsui Kinzoku5706.T $6B65
- Luoyang Shenglong001257.SZ $5.07B71
- UmicoreUMI.BR $4.99B64
ETFs that hold Triple Flag Precious Metals
Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X Silver Miners UCITS ETF USD AccSLVR | 1.51% | 0.65% | €1.1B |
| VanEck Junior Gold Miners UCITS ETFG2XJ | 0.72% | 0.55% | €1.08B |
| iShares Gold Producers UCITS ETF USD (Acc)IS0E | 0.27% | 0.55% | €3.87B |
Show 5 more
| VanEck S&P Global Mining UCITS ETF A USDWMIN | 0.11% | 0.50% | €1.98B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.11% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.02% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.01% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.00% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 8 Aug 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026, previously Undervalued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.