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Seagate Technology Holdings stock

STXNASDAQ

Seagate Technology Holdings plc, TechnologyISIN IE00BKVD2N49

$551.72▲ $50.10 (+10.0%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

73Score 73 out of 100, Strong

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Price and trend

44 / 100

Price history

+92% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 21% below it.

Trend change

Since June 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 40).

Distance to the high

The price is 50% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 89% (November 2007 to January 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$751.28
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$700.12
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)40
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$237.49
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$1,094.04
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$126.65B
Div. yield
0.54%
12 months
29.1
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
11.2
on earnings for the next twelve months ($49.35 per share)
Fair value
$224.93

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Seagate Technology Holdings plc belongs to the Computer Hardware industry (Singapore) and, with a market value of $126.65B, is number 4 of 46 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $12.2B (up 34.1% year on year) and earnings of $3.18B (up 116.7%).
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $20.23B (up 65.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $40.14 (up 158.5%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 73 out of 100 (Strong): rank 169 of 857 in Technology, median 61.
  • The P/E is 29.1 (Computer Hardware median 19.4, own median of recent years 14.8).
  • Our model puts fair value at $224.93, with the price 145% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 88.6% in fiscal 2026, Computer Hardware median 4.4%.Profitability 94
  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 46.4% a year through 2029 (estimates from 13 analysts).Growth 79
  • High marginNet margin 31.9% over the last 12 months, Computer Hardware median 4.6%.Profitability 94

Weaknesses

  • Above fair valuePrice 145% above the fair value of $224.93.Valuation 46
  • Margin may fall backOperating margin 33.6%, average of the prior years 14%, which ranged from −4.6% to 20.8%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 77% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 64
73/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are profitability and fundamentals, while valuation and technical analysis hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency90% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)100%
ROIC (12 months)112.6%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high price swings
  • price far below its 52-week high
  • price up very strongly over the past year

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly overvalued
Price
$551.72
Fair value
$224.93
Gap to fair value
+145%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $149.95 and expensive above $449.86 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $317.77 (cash-flow model) and $132.09 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.7%. At 11.7% the fair value would be $202.20, at 9.7% it would be $255.64.

Valuation metrics

0.78
23.1
Fair value (model)
$224.93
Earnings part $132.09 (earnings at the median net margin $6.80 × 19.4)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.4).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, revenue rose 44.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has changed sharply in recent years: $12.2B in 2026 after $6.55B in 2024.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 46%, operating 34%, net 26%. Last 12 months: net 32%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.68
14x
1.82
Cash & equivalents
$1.26B

The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
27 Jan 2027in 76 days
Last reported
27 Oct 2026EPS reported $7.68 (expected $7.44)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2028 earnings estimate by 13.0% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202716 analysts
Earnings per share
$40.14+9.5%
Revenue
$20.23B+7.0%
Fiscal 202815 analysts
Earnings per share
$65.81+13.0%
Revenue
$28.56B+10.6%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +8.3%

Seagate guides December quarter revenue to roughly 4.8 billion at the midpoint and non-GAAP EPS of 9.20, well above the current quarter, and expects strong sequential growth and margin expansion for all of fiscal 2027.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We expect December quarter revenue to be in a range of $4.8 billion, plus or minus $100 million, which represents a 7% year-over-year improvement at the midpoint.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 27 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 5 insiders sold, $271.16M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Mosley William DSale

    2 Nov 2026, CEO

    Shares
    6,720
    Price
    $622.82
    Value
    $4.19M
  • Mosley William DSale

    2 Nov 2026, CEO

    Shares
    23,280
    Price
    $602.44
    Value
    $14.02M
  • Morris John ChristopherSale

    30 Oct 2026, EVP & CTO

    Shares
    2,675
    Price
    $650.15
    Value
    $1.74M
Show 17 more
  • Lee James CISale

    23 Oct 2026, EVP & CLO

    Shares
    547.25
    Price
    $642.14
    Value
    $351,411
  • Mosley William DSale

    1 Oct 2026, CEO

    Shares
    11,002
    Price
    $935.60
    Value
    $10.29M
  • Mosley William DSale

    1 Oct 2026, CEO

    Shares
    18,998
    Price
    $914.67
    Value
    $17.38M
  • Morris John ChristopherSale

    21 Sept 2026, EVP & CTO

    Shares
    9,354
    Price
    $877.91
    Value
    $8.21M
  • Romano GianlucaSale

    15 Sept 2026, EVP & CFO

    Shares
    49,983.5
    Price
    $772.16
    Value
    $38.6M
  • Mosley William DSale

    15 Sept 2026, CEO

    Shares
    97,889.25
    Price
    $772.14
    Value
    $75.58M
  • Teh Ban SengSale

    15 Sept 2026, EVP & Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    52,730
    Price
    $782.08
    Value
    $41.24M
  • Morris John ChristopherSale

    15 Sept 2026, EVP & CTO

    Shares
    15,465.5
    Price
    $772.15
    Value
    $11.94M
  • Teh Ban SengSale

    14 Sept 2026, EVP & Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    989
    Price
    $779.00
    Value
    $770,431
  • Morris John ChristopherSale

    14 Sept 2026, EVP & CTO

    Shares
    492.75
    Price
    $781.23
    Value
    $384,952
  • Romano GianlucaSale

    14 Sept 2026, EVP & CFO

    Shares
    955
    Price
    $781.24
    Value
    $746,087
  • Mosley William DSale

    14 Sept 2026, CEO

    Shares
    1,869.75
    Price
    $781.23
    Value
    $1.46M
  • Romano GianlucaSale

    11 Sept 2026, EVP & CFO

    Shares
    4,600
    Price
    $854.55
    Value
    $3.93M
  • Romano GianlucaSale

    11 Sept 2026, EVP & CFO

    Shares
    45,898
    Price
    $830.01
    Value
    $38.1M
  • Teh Ban SengSale

    10 Sept 2026, EVP & Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    663
    Price
    $860.09
    Value
    $570,240
  • Morris John ChristopherSale

    10 Sept 2026, EVP & CTO

    Shares
    572.25
    Price
    $862.13
    Value
    $493,355
  • Romano GianlucaSale

    10 Sept 2026, EVP & CFO

    Shares
    1,348
    Price
    $862.13
    Value
    $1.16M

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Seagate Technology Holdings

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

857 rated companies in Technology

Rank 169 of 857
169/ 857
This company
73
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 857 companies94 (median 59)35 above the median
GrowthMedian of 857 companies79 (median 68)11 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 857 companies92 (median 67)25 above the median
ValuationMedian of 788 companies with a value46 (median 52)6 below the median
StabilityMedian of 857 companies64 (median 67)3 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 857 companies89 (median 53)36 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 857 companies44 (median 59)15 below the median
MomentumMedian of 857 companies48 (median 56)8 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Computer Hardware

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 46 Computer Hardware stocks

ETFs that hold Seagate Technology Holdings

Held by 140 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 3 Jul 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 May 2026)
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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