Sterling Infrastructure stock
STRLNASDAQSterling Infrastructure, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US8592411016
68Score 68 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
32 / 100
Price history
−21% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 45% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 41).
The price is 70% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 91% (November 2007 to March 2015).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$438.64
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$549.14
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)41
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$244.34
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$993.74
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. belongs to the Engineering & Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $9.19B, is number 34 of 110 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.49B (up 17.7% year on year) and earnings of $290.15M (up 12.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.63B (up 85.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $21.57 (up 98.2%).
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- MEQIRI Score 68 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 296 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 16.9 (Engineering & Construction median 18.9, own median of recent years 12.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $612.78, with the price 50% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 44.3% a year since 2020.Growth 100
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 39.3% in fiscal 2025, Engineering & Construction median 7.5%.Profitability 75
- Below fair valuePrice 50% below the fair value of $612.78.Valuation 87
Weaknesses
- Volatile share priceVolatility 95% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 65
Its standout strengths are growth and fundamentals, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 67 to 68.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $408.52 and expensive above $1,225.56 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $888.19 (cash-flow model) and $337.37 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $534.28, at 7.8% it would be $730.91.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.9).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2025, revenue rose 17.7% on the prior year. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 13% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 23%, operating 17%, net 12%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $7.58 (expected $6.20)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 9.6% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $21.57+8.2%
- Revenue
- $4.63B+12.4%
- Earnings per share
- $28.17+9.6%
- Revenue
- $5.76B+14.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −11.0%Sterling raised its full year 2026 guidance: revenue now $4.63 billion to $4.73 billion and adjusted EPS $21.70 to $21.96, both above the prior outlook.
“We are raising our 2026 guidance ranges as follows: Revenue of $4.63 billion-$4.73 billion, diluted EPS of $19.16-$19.42, adjusted diluted EPS of $21.70-$21.96, EBITDA of $905 million-$916 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $2.22M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Wolf Mark D.Sale
25 Jun 2026, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary
- Shares
- 2,500
- Price
- $888.00
- Value
- $2.22M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Sterling Infrastructure
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 68
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Engineering & Construction
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- AtkinsRéalis GroupATRL.TO $10.07B57
- Ackermans & Van HaarenACKB.BR $10.03B60
- Samsung Engineering028050.KS $9.73B76
- Tetra TechTTEK $9.63B78
- Shimizu1803.T $9.2B62
- AecomACM $9.04B60
- SPIE S.a.SPIE.PA $8.62B62
- StantecSTN $8.49B66
ETFs that hold Sterling Infrastructure
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invesco NASDAQ Next Generation 100 UCITS ETF AccEQQJ | 0.45% | 0.25% | €44.3M |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.22% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.14% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
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| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.09% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.08% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| State Street SPDR Morningstar Multi-Asset Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF (Dist)ZPRI | 0.07% | 0.40% | €622.34M |
| Franklin U.S. Equity UCITS ETFFLXU | 0.06% | 0.20% | €55.89M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.03% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 15 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.