Scotts Miracle-Gro stock
SMGNYSEThe Scotts Miracle-Gro Company, Basic MaterialsISIN US8101861065
62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
68 / 100
Price history
+9.0% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 2.9% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 60).
The price is 13% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 84% (April 2021 to October 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$56.10
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$61.96
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)60
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$48.44
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$73.47
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company belongs to the Agricultural Inputs industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.71B, is number 11 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $3.29B (down 3.6% year on year) and earnings of $103.9M (down 28.4%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.38B (up 2.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $4.77 (up 8%).
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- MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 182 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- The P/E is 19 (Agricultural Inputs median 14.4, own median of recent years 22.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $75.53, with the price 14% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 21 years.Capital allocation 68
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 15.7% in fiscal 2026, Agricultural Inputs median 5.2%.Profitability 71
Weaknesses
- Revenue shrinkingRevenue down 7.8% a year since 2021.Growth 36
Its standout strengths are momentum and profitability, while growth holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are strong overall.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $53.95 and expensive above $125.88 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $102.71 (cash-flow model) and $48.36 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $67.15, at 7.8% it would be $88.09.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue fell 3.6% on the prior year. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2007.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 32%, operating 12%, net not measured.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 27 Jan 2027in 75 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported −$2.16 (expected −$2.21)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $4.77−0.4%
- Revenue
- $3.38B+0.2%
- Earnings per share
- $5.19+0.9%
- Revenue
- $3.46B+0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −6.6%Earnings guidance raised: adjusted EPS now $4.30 to $4.45; sales guidance of low single-digit growth reaffirmed.
The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $2.33M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Evans David CSale
9 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,655
- Price
- $66.42
- Value
- $176,345
- Kingdon Mark DSale
10 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 831
- Price
- $61.65
- Value
- $51,227
- Hagedorn Partnership, L.P.Sale
3 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 30,000
- Price
- $67.45
- Value
- $2.02M
Show 1 more
- Johnson Stephen LSale
30 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,170.96
- Price
- $68.32
- Value
- $80,000
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Scotts Miracle-Gro
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 62
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Agricultural Inputs
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- MosaicMOS $7.25B46
- Coromandel InternationalCOROMANDEL.NS $6.26B61
- ICL GroupICL $5.9B57
- Fertilisers And Chemicals TravancoreFACT.NS $5.62B36
- K+SSDF.DE $2.53B60
- KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaAKWS.DE $2.42B59
- CVR PartnersUAN $1.19B64
- Tessenderlo GroupTESB.BR $1.13B43
ETFs that hold Scotts Miracle-Gro
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.25% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.24% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.09% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
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| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.04% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.03% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.03% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 30 Sep 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 21 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 11 Nov 2026, previously Undervalued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.