Sygnity stock: fair value
SGN.WAThe fair value of Sygnity under our model is $22.90, the price is 6% above.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $17.62 and expensive above $32.72 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $24.11 (cash-flow model) and $21.70 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly above both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.8%. At 11.8% the fair value would be $20.94, at 9.8% it would be $25.79.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.8).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 5.6%. Discounted at 10.8% (government bond yield 5.6% plus beta 0.99 times a risk premium of 5.3%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $24.11 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 10.8%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 10.8%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $23.57M | extrapolated at 17.0% | 0.9021 | $21.27M |
| 2026 | $26.77M | extrapolated at 13.6% | 0.8138 | $21.79M |
| 2027 | $29.76M | extrapolated at 11.2% | 0.7342 | $21.85M |
| 2028 | $32.58M | extrapolated at 9.5% | 0.6623 | $21.58M |
| 2029 | $35.29M | extrapolated at 8.3% | 0.5975 | $21.08M |
| 2030 | $37.93M | extrapolated at 7.5% | 0.5390 | $20.44M |
| 2031 | $40.55M | extrapolated at 6.9% | 0.4862 | $19.72M |
| 2032 | $43.18M | extrapolated at 6.5% | 0.4387 | $18.94M |
| 2033 | $45.87M | extrapolated at 6.2% | 0.3957 | $18.15M |
| 2034 | $48.63M | extrapolated at 6.0% | 0.3570 | $17.36M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $202.17M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2034 × (1 + 5.6%) / (10.8% − 5.6%) | $970.4M |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.3570) | $346.42M |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $548.59M |
| Shares (diluted) | 22.76M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $24.11 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $1.16 |
| × 18.8 (industry P/E) | $21.70 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $22.90 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2024, period end 31 Dec 2024
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = PLN 3.9742)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 14 Aug 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.