Smithfield Foods stock
SFDNASDAQSmithfield Foods, Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US8322482071
62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
43 / 100
Price history
−13% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 2 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 20% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 55).
The price is 35% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 2 years: 38% (April 2026 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$19.28
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$23.86
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)55
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$18.22
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$29.59
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Smithfield Foods, Inc. belongs to the Packaged Foods industry (United States) and, with a market value of $7.54B, is number 30 of 75 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $15.53B (up 9.8% year on year) and earnings of $987M (up 3.6%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $15.09B (down 2.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.79 (down 27.4%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 162 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 8.4 (Packaged Foods median 18.7, own median of recent years 9).
- Our model puts fair value at $36.15, with the price 47% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 47% below the fair value of $36.15.Valuation 82
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2010 to 2025.Fundamentals 83
- Earnings per share growingUp 16.1% a year since 2015.Growth 59
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are stability and fundamentals, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansValuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $27.81 and expensive above $51.65 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $29.76 (cash-flow model) and $42.55 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $33.67, at 7.8% it would be $39.88.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.7).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 27 Sep 2026, revenue fell 0.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2000, at about 5% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 13%, operating 8%, net 6%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 23 Mar 2027in 131 days
- Last reported
- 27 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.26 (expected $0.26)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 17.5% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.79−17.5%
- Revenue
- $15.09B−2.4%
- Earnings per share
- $1.84−14.6%
- Revenue
- $14.81B−3.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +0.8%Smithfield lowered its full-year sales outlook to down low single digits from roughly flat and now expects total company operating profit of $900 million to $1 billion, citing weaker pork complex values and pressure in fresh pork and hog production in the fourth quarter.
“For total company operating profit, we are expecting to report a full-year adjusted range of $900 million-$1 billion. The reset in our total company outlook is driven by fresh pork and hog production.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 27 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $4.4M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Smithfield Foods
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 62
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaged Foods
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Kikkoman2801.T $9.73B69
- Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding0322.HK $9.67B71
- Darling IngredientsDAR $8.55B67
- Lamb Weston HoldingsLW $7.84B60
- CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical300765.SZ $7.33B36
- Meiji Holdings2269.T $7.19B55
- Conagra BrandsCAG $7.08B45
- Samyang Foods003230.KS $6.82B74
ETFs that hold Smithfield Foods
Held by 2 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin U.S. Equity UCITS ETFFLXU | 0.09% | 0.20% | €55.89M |
| Invesco RAFI US Fundamental Value UCITS ETF6PSA | 0.00% | 0.39% | €1.23B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 28 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 7 Aug 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.