Semperit AG Holding stock: fair value
SEM.VIThe fair value of Semperit AG Holding under our model is $26.95, the price is 29% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $19.25 and expensive above $44.92 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $2.33 (cash-flow model) and $51.57 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.7%. At 9.7% the fair value would be $26.82, at 7.7% it would be $27.14.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, weak growth.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (23.8).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.6%. Discounted at 8.7% (government bond yield 2.6% plus beta 1.34 times a risk premium of 4.6%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $2.33 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 8.7%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 8.7%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $7.97M | extrapolated at −48.0% | 0.9198 | $7.33M |
| 2027 | $5.35M | extrapolated at −32.8% | 0.8461 | $4.53M |
| 2028 | $4.16M | extrapolated at −22.2% | 0.7783 | $3.24M |
| 2029 | $3.55M | extrapolated at −14.8% | 0.7159 | $2.54M |
| 2030 | $3.21M | extrapolated at −9.6% | 0.6585 | $2.11M |
| 2031 | $3.02M | extrapolated at −5.9% | 0.6057 | $1.83M |
| 2032 | $2.92M | extrapolated at −3.4% | 0.5572 | $1.62M |
| 2033 | $2.87M | extrapolated at −1.6% | 0.5125 | $1.47M |
| 2034 | $2.86M | extrapolated at −0.4% | 0.4714 | $1.35M |
| 2035 | $2.87M | extrapolated at 0.5% | 0.4336 | $1.25M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $27.27M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 2.6%) / (8.7% − 2.6%) | $47.87M |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.4336) | $20.76M |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $48.02M |
| Shares (diluted) | 20.57M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $2.33 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $2.16 |
| × 23.8 (industry P/E) | $51.57 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $26.95 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak since 13 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.