Rocket Lab USA stock
RKLBNASDAQRocket Lab USA, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US7731211089
38Score 38 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
53 / 100
Price history
+29% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 16% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 66).
The price is 56% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 83% (September 2021 to April 2024).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$62.49
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$78.52
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)66
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$39.48
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$150.23
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Rocket Lab USA, Inc. belongs to the Aerospace & Defense industry (United States) and, with a market value of $41.73B, is number 18 of 114 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $601.8M (up 38% year on year) and a loss of $198.21M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $976.59M (up 62.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.17.
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- MEQIRI Score 38 out of 100 (Weak): rank 947 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $22.28, with the price 197% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 76.5% a year since 2020, Aerospace & Defense median 10.6%.Growth 70
- More cash than debtCash $4.61B, financial debt $120.28M.Stability 54
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 197% above the fair value of $22.28.Valuation 21
- Loss-makingLoss of $226.88M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
- Volatile share priceVolatility 96% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 54
Its standout strength is growth, while fundamentals and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 37 to 38.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $14.85 and expensive above $44.56 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $17.98, at 7.8% it would be $28.78.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 59% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2019, at around 52% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 34%, operating −38%, net −33%. Last 12 months: net −26%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 105 days
- Last reported
- 9 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.12 (expected −$0.07)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 39.3% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- −$0.17+39.3%
- Revenue
- $976.59M+1.8%
- Earnings per share
- −$0.02+15.5%
- Revenue
- $1.38B−1.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −3.4%Third quarter revenue is guided at $250 million to $265 million, about 10% above the prior quarter, after second quarter margins came in above the prior guidance range.
“We expect revenue in the second quarter to range between $250 million and $265 million, representing 10% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth at the midpoint.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 10 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 8 insiders sold, $385.95M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Armagno NinaSale
2 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 10,926
- Price
- $52.78
- Value
- $576,647
- Spice Adam C.Sale
2 Nov 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 140,157
- Price
- $52.79
- Value
- $7.4M
- Spice Adam C.Sale
1 Oct 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 140,157
- Price
- $70.82
- Value
- $9.93M
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- Spice Adam C.Sale
2 Sept 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 140,157
- Price
- $62.63
- Value
- $8.78M
- Klein FrankSale
27 Aug 2026, Chief Operations Officer
- Shares
- 35,558
- Price
- $66.61
- Value
- $2.37M
- Kampani ArjunSale
27 Aug 2026, SVP & General Counsel
- Shares
- 6,034
- Price
- $66.65
- Value
- $402,186
- Spice Adam C.Sale
24 Aug 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 9,677
- Price
- $69.63
- Value
- $673,790
- Ricupati AgostinoSale
24 Aug 2026, VP Corp Controller & CAO
- Shares
- 669
- Price
- $69.63
- Value
- $46,581
- Klein FrankSale
24 Aug 2026, Chief Operations Officer
- Shares
- 45,692
- Price
- $69.63
- Value
- $3.18M
- Kampani ArjunSale
24 Aug 2026, SVP & General Counsel
- Shares
- 7,754
- Price
- $69.63
- Value
- $539,896
- Clevenger Marvin BradfordSale
24 Aug 2026, President, Rocket Lab USA, Inc
- Shares
- 15,051
- Price
- $69.63
- Value
- $1.05M
- Beck PeterSale
8 Jul 2026, CEO
- Shares
- 990,960
- Price
- $82.86
- Value
- $82.12M
- Beck PeterSale
7 Jul 2026, CEO
- Shares
- 1,298,622
- Price
- $84.92
- Value
- $110.28M
- Beck PeterSale
6 Jul 2026, CEO
- Shares
- 986,197
- Price
- $95.33
- Value
- $94.02M
- Kampani ArjunSale
18 Jun 2026, SVP & General Counsel
- Shares
- 88,000
- Price
- $107.98
- Value
- $9.5M
- Slusky Alexander RSale
2 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 40,000
- Price
- $123.60
- Value
- $4.94M
- Slusky Alexander RSale
28 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 60,000
- Price
- $149.40
- Value
- $8.96M
- Klein FrankSale
28 May 2026, Chief Operations Officer
- Shares
- 36,860
- Price
- $147.42
- Value
- $5.43M
- Clevenger Marvin BradfordSale
28 May 2026, President, Rocket Lab USA, Inc
- Shares
- 3,500
- Price
- $146.67
- Value
- $513,356
- Kampani ArjunSale
28 May 2026, SVP & General Counsel
- Shares
- 23,804
- Price
- $147.43
- Value
- $3.51M
- Kampani ArjunSale
27 May 2026, SVP & General Counsel
- Shares
- 70,000
- Price
- $145.13
- Value
- $10.16M
- Spice Adam C.Sale
26 May 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 62,744
- Price
- $142.57
- Value
- $8.95M
- Klein FrankSale
26 May 2026, Chief Operations Officer
- Shares
- 44,390
- Price
- $142.57
- Value
- $6.33M
- Kampani ArjunSale
26 May 2026, SVP & General Counsel
- Shares
- 28,668
- Price
- $142.57
- Value
- $4.09M
- Clevenger Marvin BradfordSale
26 May 2026, President, Rocket Lab USA, Inc
- Shares
- 15,549
- Price
- $142.57
- Value
- $2.22M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Rocket Lab USA
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 38
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aerospace & Defense
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Honeywell AerospaceHONA $53.75B73
- ThalesHO.PA $52.67B72
- L3Harris TechnologiesLHX $51.5B60
- HEICOHEI $48.67B74
- RheinmetallRHM.DE $41.22B65
- China CSSC Holdings600150.SS $38.43B69
- Hindustan AeronauticsHAL.NS $35.33B71
- SaabSAAB-B.ST $34.27B73
ETFs that hold Rocket Lab USA
Held by 70 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invesco Defence Innovation UCITS ETF AccumUSDIVDF | 1.44% | 0.35% | €134.79M |
| Amundi US Tech 100 Equal Weight UCITS ETF DR USDWEBA | 0.76% | 0.07% | €340.27M |
| HAN-GINS Tech Megatrend Equal Weight UCITS ETF AccT3KE | 0.71% | 0.59% | €96.5M |
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| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.49% | 0.30% | €51.58M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Industrials UCITS ETF 1CXDWI | 0.29% | 0.25% | €1.21B |
| iShares NASDAQ-100 UCITS ETF (DE)EXXT | 0.17% | 0.30% | €5.44B |
| Invesco EQQQ Nasdaq-100 UCITS ETF AccEQQB | 0.16% | 0.30% | €18.29B |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.14% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2021)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.