Rivian Automotive stock
RIVNNASDAQRivian Automotive, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US76954A1034
34Score 34 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
45 / 100
Price history
−27% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 5 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 17% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 57).
The price is 43% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 5 years: 95% (November 2021 to April 2024).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$14.02
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$15.35
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)57
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$11.43
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$22.45
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Rivian Automotive, Inc. belongs to the Auto (Manufacturers) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $18.63B, is number 20 of 55 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $5.39B (up 8.4% year on year) and a loss of $3.65B.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $7.68B (up 42.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$2.11.
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- MEQIRI Score 34 out of 100 (Weak): rank 582 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $15.71, with the price 14% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- More cash than debtCash $5.5B, financial debt $5.43B.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 30% since 2022.Capital allocation 18
- Loss-makingLoss of $2.97B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$4.19B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
The score is held back by fundamentals and profitability.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $10.47 and expensive above $31.41 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.1%. At 10.1% the fair value would be $13.22, at 8.1% it would be $19.34.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 11.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue turned from negative at the start of the period to positive ($5.39B in the latest year).
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 3%, operating −67%, net −68%. Last 12 months: net −46%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Feb 2027in 90 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported −$0.48 (expected −$0.64)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 7.7% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- −$2.11+7.7%
- Revenue
- $7.68B+2.5%
- Earnings per share
- −$1.87−1.9%
- Revenue
- $11.53B−1.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −6.8%2026 delivery guidance raised by 3,000 to 65,000 to 70,000 vehicles, expected adjusted EBITDA loss reduced by $50 million to $1.8 billion to $2 billion.
“Finally, for our 2026 guidance, in early July, we announced we expect to deliver 65,000-70,000 total vehicles across R1, R2, and our commercial van, a 3,000-unit increase as compared to our prior guidance.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $251,460 in total. 4 insiders sold, $2.16M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Callahan Michael JohnSale
1 Oct 2026, Chief Administrative Officer
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $15.00
- Value
- $225,000
- Callahan Michael JohnSale
11 Sept 2026, Chief Administrative Officer
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $16.29
- Value
- $244,391
- McDonough ClaireSale
20 Aug 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 8,023
- Price
- $16.00
- Value
- $128,368
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- McDonough ClaireSale
18 Aug 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 13,144
- Price
- $14.50
- Value
- $190,650
- Boone KarenSale
6 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 20,000
- Price
- $20.00
- Value
- $400,000
- McDonough ClaireSale
3 Jun 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 8,022
- Price
- $18.00
- Value
- $144,396
- McDonough ClaireSale
29 May 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 8,023
- Price
- $16.00
- Value
- $128,368
- Scaringe Robert JSale
28 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 34,818
- Price
- $15.00
- Value
- $522,270
- McDonough ClaireSale
21 May 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 7,600
- Price
- $14.00
- Value
- $106,400
- McDonough ClaireSale
18 May 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 5,544
- Price
- $13.43
- Value
- $74,481
- Gomez Aidan N.Purchase
15 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 18,000
- Price
- $13.97
- Value
- $251,460
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Rivian Automotive
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 34
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Manufacturers)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Kia000270.KS $27.5B66
- Suzuki Motor7269.T $26.51B75
- TVS MotorTVSMOTOR.NS $23.12B64
- Eicher MotorsEICHERMOT.NS $22.24B76
- Geely Automobile Holdings0175.HK $19.59B65
- Hyundai Motor IndiaHYUNDAI.NS $18.7B72
- SAIC Motor600104.SS $17.73B43
- Tata MotorsTMCV.NS $17.53B67
ETFs that hold Rivian Automotive
Held by 88 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Electric Vehicles and Driving Technology UCITS ETFIEVD | 1.69% | 0.40% | €488.62M |
| Invesco NASDAQ Next Generation 100 UCITS ETF AccEQQJ | 1.01% | 0.25% | €44.3M |
| Invesco Global Clean Energy UCITS ETF AccumUSDG1CE | 0.97% | 0.60% | €87.44M |
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| Amundi Global Luxury UCITS ETF EUR AccGLUX | 0.90% | 0.35% | €411.57M |
| HAN-GINS Tech Megatrend Equal Weight UCITS ETF AccT3KE | 0.67% | 0.59% | €96.5M |
| Xtrackers Future Mobility UCITS ETF 1CXMOV | 0.51% | 0.35% | €164.07M |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.34% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1DXUCD | 0.26% | 0.12% | €150.96M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2022)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.