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Transocean stock

RIGNYSE

Transocean Ltd., EnergyISIN CH0048265513

$5.32▲ $0.01 (+0.2%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

49Score 49 out of 100, Weak

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Price and trend

37 / 100

Price history

+29% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 9.8% below it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 31).

Distance to the high

The price is 30% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 100% (May 2008 to October 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$5.68
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$5.90
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)31
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$3.84
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$7.58
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$5.93B
Div. yield
no dividend
20.5
includes one-off items, adjusted 33.3
17.9
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.30 per share)
Fair value
$5.31

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Transocean Ltd. belongs to the Oil & Gas Drilling industry (Switzerland) and, with a market value of $5.94B, is number 2 of 11 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.97B (up 12.5% year on year) and a loss of $2.92B.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.94B (down 0.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.24.
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  • MEQIRI Score 49 out of 100 (Weak): rank 199 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
  • Our model puts fair value at $5.31, with the price 0% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 274% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 51
  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 31.4% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).Growth 62

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 56% since 2020.Capital allocation 30
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 51% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 48
49/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

The score is held back by technical analysis and capital allocation.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency10% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)274%
ROIC (12 months)6.3%
Positive free cash flow70% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high price swings
  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
  • weak fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$5.31
Fair value
$5.31
Gap to fair value
0%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $3.79 and expensive above $8.85 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.6%. At 10.6% the fair value would be $5.07, at 8.6% it would be $5.61.

Valuation metrics

no data
7.9
Fair value (model)
$5.31

From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 3.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 83%, operating 18%, net −74%. Last 12 months: net 7%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.59
−4.3x
1.53
Cash & equivalents
$499M

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
18 Feb 2027in 98 days
Last reported
2 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.02 (expected $0.02)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 9.2% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20265 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.24+5.3%
Revenue
$3.94B0.0%
Fiscal 20278 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.31+9.2%
Revenue
$3.94B+1.3%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook mixed

Share price after the results: −9.3%

Upper end of the 2026 revenue range reduced by $50 million to $3.9 billion, while next year's utilization is expected to approach 100% versus 90% previously.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“First, the upper end of our full-year revenue range has been reduced by $50 million to $3.9 billion, primarily to reflect the passage of time.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 5 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $173,250 in total. One insider sold, $608,970 in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Deaton Chad CPurchase

    2 Jul 2026, Board

    Shares
    35,000
    Price
    $4.95
    Value
    $173,250
  • Long Brady KSale

    21 May 2026, EVP & Chief Legal Officer

    Shares
    81,741
    Price
    $7.45
    Value
    $608,970

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Transocean

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

266 rated companies in Energy

Rank 199 of 266
199/ 266
This company
49
Sector median
60

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 266 companies49 (median 58)9 below the median
GrowthMedian of 266 companies62 (median 65)3 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 266 companies51 (median 62)11 below the median
ValuationMedian of 255 companies with a value65 (median 82)17 below the median
StabilityMedian of 266 companies48 (median 60)12 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 266 companies30 (median 48)18 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 266 companies37 (median 54)17 below the median
MomentumMedian of 266 companies50 (median 56)6 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Oil & Gas Drilling

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 11 Oil & Gas Drilling stocks

ETFs that hold Transocean

Held by 4 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

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Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak since 10 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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