Redwire stock
RDWNYSERedwire Corp, IndustrialsISIN US75776W1036
42Score 42 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
40 / 100
Price history
+35% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 26% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 48).
The price is 69% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 87% (October 2021 to December 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$9.61
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$10.90
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)48
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$5.06
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$25.90
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Redwire Corp belongs to the Aerospace & Defense industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.01B, is number 88 of 114 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $335.38M (up 10.3% year on year) and a loss of $226.55M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $475.56M (up 41.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.74.
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- MEQIRI Score 42 out of 100 (Weak): rank 897 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $22.80, with the price 65% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 42.3% a year since 2020, Aerospace & Defense median 10.6%.Growth 70
- More cash than debtCash $488.87M, financial debt $89.92M.Stability 53
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 100% since 2020.Capital allocation 18
- Volatile share priceVolatility 115% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 53
- Loss-makingLoss of $226.12M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
Its standout strengths are valuation and growth, while fundamentals and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $15.20 and expensive above $45.60 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $18.62, at 7.8% it would be $29.10.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, weak balance sheet.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 45.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2019, at around 61% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 5%, operating −68%, net −68%. Last 12 months: net −52%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 103 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.06 (expected −$0.11)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 6.5% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- −$0.74+1.9%
- Revenue
- $475.56M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- −$0.32+6.5%
- Revenue
- $563.42M−0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +26.8%2026 revenue outlook of $450 million to $500 million reaffirmed, supported by a record backlog of $542.1 million.
“Having achieved year-to-date revenue of $214 million, in line with our expectations, plus another strong quarter of contracts awarded, confidence provided by our record backlog of $542.1 million and a supportive macro environment, we are reaffirming our full year 2026 revenue forecast in the range of $450 million to …”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $243.12M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Redwire
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 42
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aerospace & Defense
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Exail TechnologiesEXA.PA $2.36B45
- Theon InternationalTHEON.AS $2.35B65
- ArxisARXS $2.18B58
- DucommunDCO $2.15B47
- Montana AerospaceAERO.SW $1.79B46
- AvioAVIO.MI $1.78B52
- Voyager TechnologiesVOYG $1.7B38
- Applied Aerospace & DefenseAADX $1.49B32
ETFs that hold Redwire
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invesco Defence Innovation UCITS ETF AccumUSDIVDF | 1.14% | 0.35% | €136.55M |
| HAN-GINS Tech Megatrend Equal Weight UCITS ETF AccT3KE | 0.59% | 0.59% | €98.84M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.06% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.06% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| Amundi MSCI Robotics & AI UCITS ETF AccGOAI | 0.03% | 0.40% | €1.17B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.02% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.02% | 0.45% | €1.54B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jan 2022)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.