PostNL stock
PNL.ASAMSPostNL N.V., IndustrialsISIN NL0009739416
41Score 41 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
45 / 100
Price history
−15% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 15% below it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 59).
The price is 35% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 95% (July 2007 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$0.93
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$1.08
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)59
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$0.88
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$1.40
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- PostNL N.V. belongs to the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry (Netherlands) and, with a market value of $471.91M, is number 35 of 36 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.68B (up 1.8% year on year) and a loss of $20.03M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.76B (up 2.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.03.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 41 out of 100 (Weak): rank 916 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 21 (Integrated Freight & Logistics median 20.8, own median of recent years 12.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $1.23, with the price 25% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 56
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 4.83%, Integrated Freight & Logistics median 2.93%.
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 6.86 times equity (latest quarter), Integrated Freight & Logistics median 1.02.Stability 31
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1 times.Stability 31
- Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $0.49 in 2020 to −$0.04.Growth 31
Its standout strength is valuation, while capital allocation and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $0.95 and expensive above $1.76 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $1.55 (cash-flow model) and $0.90 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.8%. At 11.8% the fair value would be $1.16, at 9.8% it would be $1.32.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (20.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 27 Jun 2026, revenue rose 1.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has declined since 2006 (-6% per year), so it is worth watching closely.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 5%, operating 1%, net −1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 22 Feb 2027in 102 days
- Last reported
- 3 Aug 2026EPS reported −$0.01 (expected $0.03)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 31.6% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.03−31.6%
- Revenue
- $3.76B−0.6%
- Earnings per share
- $0.07−20.0%
- Revenue
- $3.81B−1.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +2.3%PostNL confirms its 2026 outlook for normalised EBIT of EUR 40 to 70 million and free cash flow at around zero.
“For normalised EBIT, we continue to expect between EUR 40 million and EUR 70 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 26 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
What happened at PostNL
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 41
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Integrated Freight & Logistics
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Prosegur CashCASH.MC $1.15B68
- CryoportCYRX $1.04B49
- NTG Nordic Transport GroupNTG.CO $1B66
- LogwinTGHN.DE $929.07M75
- Ferrari GroupFERGR.AS $789.35M76
- CTT - Correios De PortugalCTT.LS $701.33M54
- Forward AirFWRD $581.89M39
- Radiant LogisticsRLGT $457.58M62
ETFs that hold PostNL
Held by 3 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Digitalisation UCITS ETF2B79 | 0.02% | 0.40% | €726.22M |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.00% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Jun 2024)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.