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PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna stock

PGE.WAWSE

PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna S.A., UtilitiesISIN PLPGER000010

$4.12▲ $0.16 (+4.2%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

58Score 58 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

73 / 100

Price history

+43% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 17 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 42% above it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 43).

Distance to the high

The price is 5.7% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 17 years: 89% (December 2009 to March 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$3.84
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$2.91
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)43
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$2.12
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$4.37
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$8.87B
Div. yield
no dividend
4.6
5.9
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.68 per share)
Fair value
$13.96

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna S.A. belongs to the Regulated Electric industry (Poland) and, with a market value of $9.24B, is number 51 of 79 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $15.52B (down 4.7% year on year) and a loss of $883.58M.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $17.55B (up 13%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.72.
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  • MEQIRI Score 58 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 56 of 201 in Utilities, median 54.
  • The P/E is 4.8 (Regulated Electric median 19.8, own median of recent years 8.1).
  • Our model puts fair value at $13.96, with the price 72% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Modestly valuedP/E 4.8, Regulated Electric median 19.8, own median 8.1.Valuation 100
  • Below fair valuePrice 72% below the fair value of $13.96.Valuation 100

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 20% since 2020.Capital allocation 40
  • Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $0.01 in 2020 to −$0.39.Growth 58
  • Analysts expect falling earningsDown 8.1% a year through 2028 (estimates from 3 analysts).Growth 58
58/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and momentum, while fundamentals and capital allocation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency60% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)−22%
ROIC (12 months)15.2%
Positive free cash flow50% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals
  • price up very strongly over the past year

What lowers it

  • price near its 52-week high

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$3.95
Fair value
$13.96
Gap to fair value
−72%

Closing price of 10 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $9.97 and expensive above $23.27 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $10.91 (cash-flow model) and $17.01 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.6%. At 11.6% the fair value would be $13.07, at 9.6% it would be $15.29.

Valuation metrics

no data
3
Fair value (model)
$13.96
Earnings part $17.01 (earnings per share $0.86 × 19.8)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.8).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue fell 1.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 5% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 3%, operating −4%, net −6%. Last 12 months: net 12%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.33
−1.6x
1.05
Cash & equivalents
$3.59B

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
24 Nov 2026in 12 days
Last reported
15 Sep 2026EPS reported $0.23

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 25 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20265 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.720.0%
Revenue
$17.55B0.0%
Fiscal 20275 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.670.0%
Revenue
$19.18B+4.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 25 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

201 rated companies in Utilities

Rank 56 of 201
56/ 201
This company
58
Sector median
54

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 201 companies48 (median 53)5 below the median
GrowthMedian of 201 companies58 (median 53)5 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 201 companies43 (median 52)9 below the median
ValuationMedian of 197 companies with a value100 (median 54)46 above the median
StabilityMedian of 201 companies50 (median 53)3 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 201 companies40 (median 40)0 at the median
Technical analysisMedian of 201 companies73 (median 63)10 above the median
MomentumMedian of 201 companies78 (median 58)20 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Regulated Electric

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 79 Regulated Electric stocks

ETFs that hold PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna

Held by 22 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares MSCI Poland UCITS ETFIBCJ2.59%0.74%€1B
Expat Poland WIG20 UCITS ETFPLX2.35%6.80%€1.83M
iShares Edge MSCI EM Value Factor UCITS ETF5MVL0.33%0.40%€1.48B
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = PLN 3.9578)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 2 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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