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Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras stock

PBRNYSE

EnergyISIN US71654V4086

$18.10▲ $0.28 (+1.6%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

72Score 72 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

44 / 100

Price history

+39% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 6.6% below it.

Trend change

Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 5).

Distance to the high

The price is 31% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 96% (May 2008 to February 2016).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$22.01
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$19.38
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)5
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$11.54
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$26.16
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$117.14B
Div. yield
7.93%
12 months
4.6
Fair value
$54.47

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras belongs to the Oil & Gas Integrated industry (Brazil) and, with a market value of $117.14B, is number 6 of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • American depositary receipt (ADR): 1 ADR = 2 shares.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $88.1B (down 3.6% year on year) and earnings of $19.71B (up 161.9%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 72 out of 100 (Strong): rank 43 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
  • The P/E is 4.6 (Oil & Gas Integrated median 11.6, own median of recent years 4).
  • Our model puts fair value at $54.47, with the price 67% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings per share growingUp 145.1% a year since 2020.Growth 72
  • High dividend yieldDividend yield 7.93%, Oil & Gas Integrated median 3.57%.Capital allocation 82
  • Below fair valuePrice 67% below the fair value of $54.47.Valuation 100

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

72/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are valuation and profitability, while technical analysis holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency80% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)73%
ROIC (12 months)19.0%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high price swings
  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$18.10
Fair value
$54.47
Gap to fair value
−67%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $41.90 and expensive above $77.81 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $63.05 (cash-flow model) and $45.89 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.9%. At 10.9% the fair value would be $50.17, at 8.9% it would be $60.45.

Valuation metrics

no data
3.3
Fair value (model)
$54.47
Earnings part $45.89 (earnings per share $3.97 × 11.6)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.6).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 20.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 43%, operating 31%, net 22%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.76
10.3x
0.85
Cash & equivalents
$10.39B

The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
4 Mar 2027in 111 days
Last reported
10 Nov 2026below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.9% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20269 analysts
Earnings per share
4.81+0.3%
Revenue
$120.5B+0.8%
Fiscal 20279 analysts
Earnings per share
4.14+3.9%
Revenue
$115.83B+0.5%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: −2.2%

Guidance is maintained, with investments expected at the top of the range and production aimed at the top of guidance.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“With regard to cash investments, we expect to end the year at the top of the range.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $2,609 in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Pogliese Marcelo WeickSale

    14 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    271
    Price
    $9.63
    Value
    $2,609

Shares and prices per ordinary share as filed with the SEC, not per depositary receipt (1 ADR = 2 shares).

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

266 rated companies in Energy

Rank 43 of 266
43/ 266
This company
72
Sector median
60

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 266 companies85 (median 58)27 above the median
GrowthMedian of 266 companies72 (median 65)7 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 266 companies77 (median 62)15 above the median
ValuationMedian of 254 companies with a value100 (median 82)18 above the median
StabilityMedian of 266 companies61 (median 60)1 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 266 companies82 (median 48)34 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 266 companies44 (median 53)9 below the median
MomentumMedian of 266 companies53 (median 56)3 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Oil & Gas Integrated

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 25 Oil & Gas Integrated stocks

ETFs that hold Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

Held by 42 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Franklin FTSE Brazil UCITS ETF USDFLXB8.82%0.19%€244.05M
iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF USD (Dist)IQQB8.08%0.74%€409.4M
iShares MSCI EM Latin America UCITS ETF USDIUSC3.04%0.20%€1.73B
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 16 Jan 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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