Patria Investments stock
PAXNASDAQPatria Investments Ltd, Financial ServicesISIN KYG694511059
52Score 52 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
28 / 100
Price history
−39% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 21% below it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 22).
The price is 48% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 60% (February 2021 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$10.52
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$11.61
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)22
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$9.18
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$17.59
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Patria Investments Ltd belongs to the Asset Management industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.5B, is number 82 of 131 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $383.8M (up 2.6% year on year) and earnings of $85.6M (up 19.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $428.04M (up 11.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.33 (up 4.6%).
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- MEQIRI Score 52 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 840 of 976 in Financial Services, median 68.
- The P/E is 26.7 (Asset Management median 14, own median of recent years 22.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $12.50, with the price 22% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 27.3% a year since 2020, Asset Management median 10.5%.Growth 56
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 8 fiscal years from 2018 to 2025.Fundamentals 78
Weaknesses
- Richly valuedP/E 26.7, Asset Management median 14, own median 22.1.Valuation 66
- DilutionShare count up 18% since 2020.Capital allocation 35
- Margin fallingOperating margin 34.2%, average of the prior years 50.4% (to 2024).Profitability 47
Its standout strengths are stability and fundamentals, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 56 to 52.
The fundamentals are strong overall.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
- solid fundamentals
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $8.93 and expensive above $20.83 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $20.18 (cash-flow model) and $4.82 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $10.80, at 7.8% it would be $15.05.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 10.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2018, at around 20% per year.
Margins
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: operating 34%, net 22%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out. Last 12 months: net 12%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterFor banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Feb 2027in 82 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.30 (expected $0.28)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.33−0.9%
- Revenue
- $428.04M−0.5%
- Earnings per share
- $1.41−1.8%
- Revenue
- $464.03M−1.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +1.8%2026 FRE margin now expected to fall modestly below the 58% to 60% target; the FRE guidance of $225 million to $245 million and the $7 billion fundraising target remain.
“In light of these factors, we now expect our FRE margin for the full year 2026 to fall modestly below our 58% to 60% target, although we remain confident in our 58% to 60% target for 2027 and onwards.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 31 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $2.32M in total. One insider sold, $79,075 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- D'Ippolito Marco NicolaSale
6 Aug 2026, CEO of Global Private Markets
- Shares
- 7,004
- Price
- $11.29
- Value
- $79,075
- Neto Olimpio MatarazzoPurchase
5 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 50,000
- Price
- $11.46
- Value
- $573,000
- Neto Olimpio MatarazzoPurchase
3 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 50,000
- Price
- $11.13
- Value
- $556,250
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- Neto Olimpio MatarazzoPurchase
29 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $11.46
- Value
- $171,900
- Neto Olimpio MatarazzoPurchase
28 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $11.50
- Value
- $172,500
- Neto Olimpio MatarazzoPurchase
27 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $11.48
- Value
- $172,200
- Neto Olimpio MatarazzoPurchase
26 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $11.31
- Value
- $169,650
- Neto Olimpio MatarazzoPurchase
21 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $11.14
- Value
- $167,100
- Neto Olimpio MatarazzoPurchase
20 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $10.99
- Value
- $164,850
- Neto Olimpio MatarazzoPurchase
15 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $11.40
- Value
- $171,000
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Patria Investments
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
976 rated companies in Financial Services
- This company
- 52
- Sector median
- 68
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Asset Management
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- GimvGIMB.BR $2.07B62
- Trinity CapitalTRIN $1.78B72
- Sixth Street Specialty LendingTSLX $1.69B52
- Tamburi Investment PartnersTIP.MI $1.66B48
- Capital SouthwestCSWC $1.58B64
- Antin Infrastructure PartnersANTIN.PA $1.52B69
- Peugeot InvestPEUG.PA $1.51B60
- MLPMLP.DE $1.43B72
ETFs that hold Patria Investments
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap UCITS ETFSPYX | 0.05% | 0.55% | €516.44M |
| iShares MSCI EM Small Cap UCITS ETFEUNI | 0.04% | 0.74% | €274.03M |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.03% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.02% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| Avantis Emerging Markets Equity UCITS ETF USD AccAVEM | 0.01% | 0.35% | €277.45M |
| iShares MSCI EM IMI Screened UCITS ETF USD (Acc)AYEM | 0.01% | 0.18% | €5.15B |
| iShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS ETFIS3N | 0.00% | 0.18% | €37.17B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.