Orion Group Holdings stock
ORNNYSEOrion Group Holdings, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US68628V3087
26Score 26 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
34 / 100
Price history
−24% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 19 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 34% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 42).
The price is 55% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 19 years: 93% (October 2009 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$8.72
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$11.66
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)42
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$6.89
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$17.14
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Orion Group Holdings, Inc. belongs to the Engineering & Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $311.04M, is number 108 of 110 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $942.06M (up 10.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.26 (up 4.6%).
- MEQIRI Score 26 out of 100 (Weak): rank 1020 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 53.7 (Engineering & Construction median 18.9, own median of recent years 82.8).
- Our model puts fair value at $5.94, with the price 31% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 40.7% a year through 2028 (estimates from 5 analysts).
Weaknesses
- Earnings per share fallingDown 37.7% a year since 2020.Growth 23
- DilutionShare count up 32% since 2020.Capital allocation 23
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.4 times.Stability 42
The score is held back by profitability and momentum.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $3.96 and expensive above $11.89 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $9.19 (cash-flow model) and $2.70 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.9%. At 10.9% the fair value would be $5.24, at 8.9% it would be $6.93.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.9).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 11% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 8% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 12%, operating 1%, net 0%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Mar 2027in 110 days
- Last reported
- 27 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.12 (expected $0.09)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 6.8% since 28 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.26+4.4%
- Revenue
- $942.06M+1.2%
- Earnings per share
- $0.40−6.8%
- Revenue
- $1B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 28 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −0.4%Orion reiterates its FY2026 guidance (revenue $900-950 million, EBITDA $50-54 million, EPS $0.23-0.30) and expects to track toward the upper end of these ranges.
“We are entering the last months of the year with good momentum and are pleased to reiterate our FY 2026 annual guidance of revenue of $900 million-950 million, adjusted EBITDA of $50 million-54 million, adjusted EPS of $0.23-$0.30 per share, and CapEx of $25 million-35 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
4 insiders bought on the open market between 31 Jul 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, $320,840 in total.
- Earle Edward ChipmanPurchase
31 Jul 2026, EVP & GENERAL COUNSEL
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $9.81
- Value
- $49,050
- Vasquez Alison GautPurchase
31 Jul 2026, EVP AND CFO
- Shares
- 5,025
- Price
- $9.95
- Value
- $49,999
- Sullivan Mary EPurchase
31 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $9.79
- Value
- $29,362
Show 1 more
- Ledford RobertPurchase
31 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 20,000
- Price
- $9.62
- Value
- $192,430
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Orion Group Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 26
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Engineering & Construction
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- EllaktorELLAKTOR.AT $457.58M30
- CLERHP EstructurasCLR.MC $395.35M52
- MulticonsultMULTI.OL $386.04M56
- TorpolTOR.WA $355.19M63
- TrakcjaTRK.WA $348.62M56
- Phoenix Asia HoldingsPHOE $346.9M40
- MirbudMRB.WA $314.33M54
- Compagnie d'Entreprises CFECFEB.BR $300.78M52
ETFs that hold Orion Group Holdings
Held by 3 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.02% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.