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Orange stock

ORA.PAPAR

Orange S.A., Communication ServicesISIN FR0000133308

$17.24▲ $0.08 (+0.5%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

59Score 59 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

54 / 100

Price history

+8.9% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 6.1% below it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 86).

Distance to the high

The price is 17% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 73% (November 2007 to July 2013).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$16.29
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$18.35
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)86
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$15.20
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$20.85
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$45.6B
Div. yield
4.86%
12 months
10.3
includes one-off items, adjusted 24.7
12.4
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.39 per share)
Fair value
$32.00

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Orange S.A. belongs to the Telecommunications Services industry (France) and, with a market value of $45.81B, is number 14 of 90 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $44.95B (up 0.3% year on year) and earnings of $598.63M (down 77.1%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $50.28B (up 11.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.70 (up 76.1%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 59 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 112 of 232 in Communication Services, median 58.
  • Our model puts fair value at $32.00, with the price 46% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Below fair valuePrice 46% below the fair value of $32.00.Valuation 100
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 83
  • High marginNet margin 22.2% over the last 12 months, Telecommunications Services median 7.4%.Profitability 62

Weaknesses

  • Earnings per share fallingDown 39.4% a year since 2020.Growth 30
  • Margin fallingOperating margin 8.1%, average of the prior years 11.3% (to 2024).Profitability 62
  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.5 times.Stability 48
59/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while stability and growth hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)122%
ROIC (12 months)6.2%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$17.16
Fair value
$32.00
Gap to fair value
−46%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $26.67 and expensive above $40.00 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.8%. At 8.8% the fair value would be $27.03, at 6.8% it would be $39.43.

Valuation metrics

2
6.4
Fair value (model)
$32.00

From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In fiscal 2025, revenue rose 0.3% on the prior year. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 16%, operating 8%, net 1%. Last 12 months: net 22%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.61
2.5x
0.87
Cash & equivalents
$12.72B

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
18 Feb 2027in 98 days
Last reported
27 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.35 (expected $0.45)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 7.8% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202615 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.70+7.8%
Revenue
$50.28B−0.4%
Fiscal 202716 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.34+2.1%
Revenue
$54.39B−0.8%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −0.2%

Orange raised its full year EBITDAaL growth guidance to above 4.5%, up from a previously lower target.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Our strong Q3 performance gives us full confidence in our 2026 guidance, including our upgraded EBITDAaL growth target above 4.5%.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 27 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

What happened at Orange

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

232 rated companies in Communication Services

Rank 112 of 232
112/ 232
This company
59
Sector median
58

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 232 companies62 (median 53)9 above the median
GrowthMedian of 232 companies30 (median 54)24 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 232 companies83 (median 70)13 above the median
ValuationMedian of 222 companies with a value100 (median 75)25 above the median
StabilityMedian of 232 companies48 (median 56)8 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 232 companies51 (median 52)1 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 232 companies54 (median 63)9 below the median
MomentumMedian of 232 companies56 (median 58)2 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Telecommunications Services

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 90 Telecommunications Services stocks

ETFs that hold Orange

Held by 147 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 2 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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