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Olvi stock

OLVAS.HEHEL

Olvi Oyj, Consumer DefensiveISIN FI0009900401

$31.55▲ $0.72 (+2.3%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

68Score 68 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

46 / 100

Price history

−2.9% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 11% below it.

Trend change

Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 65).

Distance to the high

The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 59% (July 2007 to November 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$33.25
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$35.51
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)65
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$29.99
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$38.89
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$636.01M
Div. yield
4.87%
12 months
8.6
8.6
on earnings for the next twelve months ($3.57 per share)
Fair value
$71.22

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Olvi Oyj belongs to the Beverages (Alcoholic) industry (Finland) and, with a market value of $650.93M, is number 20 of 21 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $740.25M (up 1.3% year on year) and earnings of $71.22M (up 3.8%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $837.82M (up 13.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.21 (down 6.9%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 68 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 87 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
  • The P/E is 8.8 (Beverages (Alcoholic) median 13.8, own median of recent years 17.6).
  • Our model puts fair value at $71.22, with the price 57% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Below fair valuePrice 57% below the fair value of $71.22.Valuation 94
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 17 years.Capital allocation 72
  • High dividend yieldDividend yield 4.87%, Beverages (Alcoholic) median 3.02%.Capital allocation 72

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

68/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 67 to 68.

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)46%
ROIC (12 months)17.3%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What lowers it

  • calm price action
  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$30.82
Fair value
$71.22
Gap to fair value
−57%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $59.35 and expensive above $89.03 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $93.23 (cash-flow model) and $49.22 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.6%. At 8.6% the fair value would be $62.96, at 6.6% it would be $83.66.

Valuation metrics

1.29
5.7
Fair value (model)
$71.22
Earnings part $49.22 (earnings per share $3.57 × 13.8)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (13.8).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 10.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 7% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 42%, operating 12%, net 10%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.29
42.1x
1.19
Cash & equivalents
$62.4M

The balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
5 Feb 2027in 85 days
Last reported
22 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.12 (expected $1.19)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 4.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20263 analysts
Earnings per share
$3.21−4.4%
Revenue
$837.82M+0.3%
Fiscal 20273 analysts
Earnings per share
$3.63−3.9%
Revenue
$881.06M+0.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at Olvi

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive

Rank 87 of 295
87/ 295
This company
68
Sector median
62

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 295 companies71 (median 54)17 above the median
GrowthMedian of 295 companies58 (median 50)8 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 295 companies79 (median 79)0 at the median
ValuationMedian of 290 companies with a value94 (median 65)29 above the median
StabilityMedian of 295 companies87 (median 68)19 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 295 companies72 (median 62)10 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 295 companies46 (median 65)19 below the median
MomentumMedian of 295 companies42 (median 60)18 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Beverages (Alcoholic)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 21 Beverages (Alcoholic) stocks

ETFs that hold Olvi

Held by 1 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS0.00%0.39%€1.47B

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 25 Sep 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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