Olin stock
OLNNYSEOlin Corporation, Basic MaterialsISIN US6806652052
44Score 44 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
51 / 100
Price history
−11% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 20% below it.
Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 66).
The price is 41% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 78% (June 2022 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$16.49
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$22.07
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)66
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$14.71
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$30.14
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Olin Corporation belongs to the Chemicals industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.01B, is number 31 of 44 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $6.78B (up 3.7% year on year) and a loss of $42.8M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $6.79B (up 0.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.58.
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- MEQIRI Score 44 out of 100 (Weak): rank 369 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- Our model puts fair value at $30.61, with the price 42% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 39 years.Capital allocation 53
- Share buybacksShare count down 27% since 2020.Capital allocation 53
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 1.7%, average of the prior years 10.4% (to 2024).Profitability 12
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.5 times.Stability 33
- Loss-makingLoss of $167.6M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 47
Its standout strength is valuation, while stability and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $21.86 and expensive above $51.02 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $25.59, at 7.8% it would be $38.13.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 0.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 7%, operating 2%, net −1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 28 Jan 2027in 77 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.13 (expected $0.15)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 39.8% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- −$0.58+6.1%
- Revenue
- $6.79B−1.8%
- Earnings per share
- $0.29−39.8%
- Revenue
- $7.12B−2.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −16.0%Stronger caustic soda pricing expected in the third quarter with chemicals adjusted EBITDA relatively flat; net debt is expected to rise year over year.
“We will continue to remain focused on working capital Against the backdrop of continued global uncertainty, we expect Chemicals adjusted EBITDA to be relatively flat in the third quarter.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 31 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Olin
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 44
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Chemicals
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Hoshine Silicon Industry603260.SS $5.22B29
- SolvaySOLB.BR $2.84B47
- KemiraKEMIRA.HE $2.51B54
- SolvacSOLV.BR $2.07B52
- RobertetRBT.PA $1.82B70
- HuntsmanHUN $1.71B42
- REX American ResourcesREX $1.32B73
- LanxessLXS.DE $1.24B39
ETFs that hold Olin
Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.11% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.07% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| Invesco RAFI US Fundamental Value UCITS ETF6PSA | 0.03% | 0.39% | €1.23B |
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| Invesco RAFI All-World Fundamental Value UCITS ETFPSWD | 0.03% | 0.39% | €446.84M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.03% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.00% | 0.17% | €8.6B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 17 Apr 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.