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Natera stock

NTRANASDAQ

Natera, Inc., HealthcareISIN US6323071042

$322.94▲ $3.12 (+1.0%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

43Score 43 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

64 / 100

Price history

+54% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 11 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 19% above it.

Trend change

Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 31).

Distance to the high

The price is 26% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 11 years: 78% (September 2021 to May 2022).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$379.87
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$270.93
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)31
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$182.65
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$436.00
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$46.83B
Div. yield
no dividend
Loss
Loss expected
Fair value
$95.47

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Natera, Inc. belongs to the Medical (Diagnostics & Research) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $46.83B, is number 6 of 37 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.31B (up 35.9% year on year) and a loss of $208.16M.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3B (up 29.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$1.58.
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 43 out of 100 (Weak): rank 494 of 702 in Healthcare, median 53.
  • Our model puts fair value at $95.47, with the price 238% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 42.6% a year since 2020, Medical (Diagnostics & Research) median 6.6%.Growth 70
  • More cash than debtCash $1.1B, financial debt $238.84M.Stability 60

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 69% since 2020.Capital allocation 18
  • Above fair valuePrice 238% above the fair value of $95.47.Valuation 11
  • Loss-makingLoss of $164.71M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
43/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strengths are momentum and growth, while fundamentals and valuation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency0% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)−24.7%
Positive free cash flow20% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals
  • high price swings

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly overvalued
Price
$322.94
Fair value
$95.47
Gap to fair value
+238%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $68.19 and expensive above $159.12 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.1%. At 10.1% the fair value would be $79.20, at 8.1% it would be $119.47.

Valuation metrics

no data
no data
Fair value (model)
$95.47

From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

14 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 37.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2012, at around 48% per year.

Margins

14 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 65%, operating −13%, net −9%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.13
−50x
2.81
Cash & equivalents
$1.1B

Debt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
25 Feb 2027in 104 days
Last reported
5 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.42 (expected −$0.28)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 68.6% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20268 analysts
Earnings per share
−$1.58−9.9%
Revenue
$3B+2.9%
Fiscal 202715 analysts
Earnings per share
−$0.47−68.6%
Revenue
$3.64B+3.7%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +17.3%

The 2026 revenue range was completely reset after a strong quarter and implies about 31% revenue growth excluding true ups.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“The guide implies 31% revenue growth this year ex true ups, and we feel very good about hitting this range.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 9 insiders sold, $160.81M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Sheena JonathanSale

    6 Nov 2026, Board

    Shares
    3,150
    Price
    $316.00
    Value
    $995,405
  • Brophy Michael BurkesSale

    3 Nov 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    470
    Price
    $391.49
    Value
    $184,000
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    2 Nov 2026, Board

    Shares
    112
    Price
    $399.97
    Value
    $44,797
Show 74 more
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    2 Nov 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    748
    Price
    $400.02
    Value
    $299,214
  • Rabinowitz DanielSale

    2 Nov 2026, SEC. AND CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER

    Shares
    341
    Price
    $400.05
    Value
    $136,416
  • Moshkevich SolomonSale

    2 Nov 2026, PRESIDENT, CLINICALDIAGNOSTICS

    Shares
    3,419
    Price
    $409.77
    Value
    $1.4M
  • Fesko JohnSale

    2 Nov 2026, PRESIDENT, CHIEF BUS. OFFICER

    Shares
    302
    Price
    $400.01
    Value
    $120,804
  • Chapman Steven LeonardSale

    2 Nov 2026, CEO AND PRESIDENT

    Shares
    3,801
    Price
    $411.80
    Value
    $1.57M
  • Brophy Michael BurkesSale

    2 Nov 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    325
    Price
    $399.99
    Value
    $129,998
  • Brophy Michael BurkesSale

    30 Oct 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    1,906
    Price
    $425.55
    Value
    $811,098
  • Brophy Michael BurkesSale

    28 Oct 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    1,178
    Price
    $426.46
    Value
    $502,372
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    28 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    187
    Price
    $426.34
    Value
    $79,726
  • Rabinowitz DanielSale

    28 Oct 2026, SEC. AND CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER

    Shares
    968
    Price
    $426.34
    Value
    $412,698
  • Moshkevich SolomonSale

    28 Oct 2026, PRESIDENT, CLINICALDIAGNOSTICS

    Shares
    1,162
    Price
    $426.34
    Value
    $495,408
  • Fesko JohnSale

    28 Oct 2026, PRESIDENT, CHIEF BUS. OFFICER

    Shares
    898
    Price
    $426.34
    Value
    $382,854
  • Chapman Steven LeonardSale

    28 Oct 2026, CEO AND PRESIDENT

    Shares
    3,430
    Price
    $426.34
    Value
    $1.46M
  • Brophy Michael BurkesSale

    28 Oct 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    1,198
    Price
    $426.34
    Value
    $510,756
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    27 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    291
    Price
    $406.00
    Value
    $118,146
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    27 Oct 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    1,718
    Price
    $406.00
    Value
    $697,508
  • Rabinowitz DanielSale

    27 Oct 2026, SEC. AND CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER

    Shares
    884
    Price
    $406.00
    Value
    $358,904
  • Moshkevich SolomonSale

    27 Oct 2026, PRESIDENT, CLINICALDIAGNOSTICS

    Shares
    1,010
    Price
    $406.00
    Value
    $410,060
  • Fesko JohnSale

    27 Oct 2026, PRESIDENT, CHIEF BUS. OFFICER

    Shares
    781
    Price
    $406.00
    Value
    $317,086
  • Chapman Steven LeonardSale

    27 Oct 2026, CEO AND PRESIDENT

    Shares
    2,264
    Price
    $406.00
    Value
    $919,184
  • Brophy Michael BurkesSale

    27 Oct 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    781
    Price
    $406.00
    Value
    $317,086
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    21 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    3,150
    Price
    $410.55
    Value
    $1.29M
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    16 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,500
    Price
    $402.47
    Value
    $603,710
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    15 Oct 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    50,000
    Price
    $402.64
    Value
    $20.13M
  • Chapman Steven LeonardSale

    1 Oct 2026, CEO AND PRESIDENT

    Shares
    1,273
    Price
    $413.31
    Value
    $526,144
  • Moshkevich SolomonSale

    1 Oct 2026, PRESIDENT, CLINICALDIAGNOSTICS

    Shares
    3,000
    Price
    $414.22
    Value
    $1.24M
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    23 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    18,064
    Price
    $388.01
    Value
    $7.01M
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    16 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    3,150
    Price
    $354.19
    Value
    $1.12M
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    15 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    6,000
    Price
    $350.07
    Value
    $2.1M
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    15 Sept 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    52,000
    Price
    $347.29
    Value
    $18.06M
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    14 Sept 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    50,000
    Price
    $334.76
    Value
    $16.74M
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    11 Sept 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    50,000
    Price
    $327.97
    Value
    $16.4M
  • Moshkevich SolomonSale

    2 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, CLINICALDIAGNOSTICS

    Shares
    15,160
    Price
    $326.89
    Value
    $4.96M
  • Moshkevich SolomonSale

    1 Sept 2026, PRESIDENT, CLINICALDIAGNOSTICS

    Shares
    3,000
    Price
    $320.73
    Value
    $962,194
  • Chapman Steven LeonardSale

    1 Sept 2026, CEO AND PRESIDENT

    Shares
    1,698
    Price
    $320.99
    Value
    $545,041
  • Fesko JohnSale

    10 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT, CHIEF BUS. OFFICER

    Shares
    6,517
    Price
    $321.53
    Value
    $2.1M
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    10 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    6,000
    Price
    $325.32
    Value
    $1.95M
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    7 Aug 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    2,000
    Price
    $320.90
    Value
    $641,800
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    7 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    9,150
    Price
    $315.66
    Value
    $2.89M
  • Brophy Michael BurkesSale

    4 Aug 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    478
    Price
    $274.22
    Value
    $131,077
  • Brophy Michael BurkesSale

    3 Aug 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    317
    Price
    $267.99
    Value
    $84,953
  • Chapman Steven LeonardSale

    3 Aug 2026, CEO AND PRESIDENT

    Shares
    3,076
    Price
    $266.39
    Value
    $819,431
  • Fesko JohnSale

    3 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT, CHIEF BUS. OFFICER

    Shares
    295
    Price
    $267.99
    Value
    $79,057
  • Moshkevich SolomonSale

    3 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT, CLINICALDIAGNOSTICS

    Shares
    3,410
    Price
    $265.58
    Value
    $905,627
  • Rabinowitz DanielSale

    3 Aug 2026, SEC. AND CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER

    Shares
    334
    Price
    $267.99
    Value
    $89,508
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    3 Aug 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    731
    Price
    $267.99
    Value
    $195,900
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    3 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    109
    Price
    $267.99
    Value
    $29,211
  • Brophy Michael BurkesSale

    29 Jul 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    1,863
    Price
    $249.38
    Value
    $464,595
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    28 Jul 2026, Board

    Shares
    191
    Price
    $254.07
    Value
    $48,527
  • Rabinowitz DanielSale

    28 Jul 2026, SEC. AND CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER

    Shares
    1,003
    Price
    $254.07
    Value
    $254,833
  • Moshkevich SolomonSale

    28 Jul 2026, PRESIDENT, CLINICALDIAGNOSTICS

    Shares
    1,204
    Price
    $254.07
    Value
    $305,901
  • Fesko JohnSale

    28 Jul 2026, PRESIDENT, CHIEF BUS. OFFICER

    Shares
    931
    Price
    $254.07
    Value
    $236,540
  • Chapman Steven LeonardSale

    28 Jul 2026, CEO AND PRESIDENT

    Shares
    3,580
    Price
    $254.07
    Value
    $909,572
  • Brophy Michael BurkesSale

    28 Jul 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    2,419
    Price
    $253.96
    Value
    $614,336
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    27 Jul 2026, Board

    Shares
    288
    Price
    $260.49
    Value
    $75,021
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    27 Jul 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    1,718
    Price
    $260.49
    Value
    $447,523
  • Rabinowitz DanielSale

    27 Jul 2026, SEC. AND CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER

    Shares
    884
    Price
    $260.49
    Value
    $230,274
  • Moshkevich SolomonSale

    27 Jul 2026, PRESIDENT, CLINICALDIAGNOSTICS

    Shares
    1,010
    Price
    $260.49
    Value
    $263,096
  • Fesko JohnSale

    27 Jul 2026, PRESIDENT, CHIEF BUS. OFFICER

    Shares
    782
    Price
    $260.49
    Value
    $203,704
  • Chapman Steven LeonardSale

    27 Jul 2026, CEO AND PRESIDENT

    Shares
    2,190
    Price
    $260.49
    Value
    $570,475
  • Brophy Michael BurkesSale

    27 Jul 2026, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

    Shares
    782
    Price
    $260.49
    Value
    $203,704
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    15 Jul 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,500
    Price
    $273.88
    Value
    $410,825
  • Chapman Rowan ESale

    15 Jul 2026, Board

    Shares
    135
    Price
    $274.82
    Value
    $37,101
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    13 Jul 2026, Board

    Shares
    3,150
    Price
    $265.68
    Value
    $836,898
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    6 Jul 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    1,000
    Price
    $280.00
    Value
    $280,000
  • Rabinowitz DanielSale

    1 Jul 2026, SEC. AND CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER

    Shares
    16,800
    Price
    $272.29
    Value
    $4.57M
  • Moshkevich SolomonSale

    1 Jul 2026, PRESIDENT, CLINICALDIAGNOSTICS

    Shares
    3,000
    Price
    $272.90
    Value
    $818,711
  • Rabinowitz DanielSale

    24 Jun 2026, SEC. AND CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER

    Shares
    33,600
    Price
    $251.65
    Value
    $8.46M
  • Rosenman HermSale

    24 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    16,530
    Price
    $250.00
    Value
    $4.13M
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    17 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,500
    Price
    $219.87
    Value
    $329,810
  • Chapman Rowan ESale

    16 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    2,964
    Price
    $216.78
    Value
    $642,536
  • Sheena JonathanSale

    15 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    3,150
    Price
    $211.14
    Value
    $665,087
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    15 Jun 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    45,789
    Price
    $214.66
    Value
    $9.83M
  • Rabinowitz MatthewSale

    12 Jun 2026, EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN

    Shares
    50,000
    Price
    $214.03
    Value
    $10.7M

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Natera

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

702 rated companies in Healthcare

Rank 494 of 702
494/ 702
This company
43
Sector median
53

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 702 companies25 (median 38)13 below the median
GrowthMedian of 702 companies70 (median 54)16 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 702 companies17 (median 46)29 below the median
ValuationMedian of 471 companies with a value11 (median 55)44 below the median
StabilityMedian of 702 companies60 (median 67)7 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 702 companies18 (median 39)21 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 702 companies64 (median 69)5 below the median
MomentumMedian of 702 companies77 (median 70)7 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Medical (Diagnostics & Research)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 37 Medical (Diagnostics & Research) stocks

ETFs that hold Natera

Held by 75 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Global X Genomics & Biotechnology UCITS ETFGN0M5.13%0.50%€127.06M
Harbor Health Care UCITS ETF AccW3114.02%0.89%€11.61M
Invesco NASDAQ Next Generation 100 UCITS ETF AccEQQJ2.29%0.25%€44.3M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 12 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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