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NeuroPace stock

NPCENASDAQ

NeuroPace, Inc., HealthcareISIN US6412881053

$12.02▼ $0.50 (−4.0%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

34Score 34 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

42 / 100

Price history

−11% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 19% below it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 40).

Distance to the high

The price is 38% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 95% (April 2021 to December 2022).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$13.35
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$14.80
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)40
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$12.02
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$19.29
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$429.74M
Div. yield
no dividend
Loss
Loss expected
Fair value
no data

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • NeuroPace, Inc. belongs to the Medical (Devices) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $412.58M, is number 83 of 90 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $99.99M (up 25.1% year on year) and a loss of $21.47M.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $100.28M (up 0.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.57.
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 34 out of 100 (Weak): rank 651 of 714 in Healthcare, median 53.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

None of our strength checks applies.

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 195% since 2020.Capital allocation 18
  • High debtDebt 5.88 times equity (latest quarter), Medical (Devices) median 0.47.Stability 28
  • Loss-makingLoss of $19.11M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
34/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

The score is held back by capital allocation and fundamentals.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency0% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)−40.1%
Positive free cash flow0% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Valuation

Valuation signal

not measured
Price
$12.52
Fair value
not meaningful
Gap to fair value
no data

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

A fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.

Valuation metrics

no data
no data
Fair value (model)
no data

The model puts the fair value at less than a quarter of the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

7 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 11.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2019, at around 18% per year.

Margins

7 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 77%, operating −16%, net −21%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
5.88
−1.9x
4.94
Cash & equivalents
$51.7M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
No date announced.
Last reported
12 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.03 (expected −$0.11)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 3.8% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20268 analysts
Earnings per share
−$0.57−3.8%
Revenue
$100.28M−0.1%
Fiscal 20278 analysts
Earnings per share
−$0.28+3.4%
Revenue
$121.95M−0.3%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −2.2%

2026 guidance raised: revenue of $99.5 million to $101.5 million (previously $99 million to $101 million), gross margin of 82% to 83%, adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $7.5 million to $8.5 million (previously $8.5 million to $9.5 million).

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We are increasing full-year total revenue guidance to a range of $99.5 million to $101.5 million, compared to our previous range of $99 million-$101 million.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 11 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.

  • Morrell MarthaSale

    15 Dec 2025, CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER

    Shares
    25,000
    Price
    $15.97
    Value
    $399,250

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at NeuroPace

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

714 rated companies in Healthcare

Rank 651 of 714
651/ 714
This company
34
Sector median
53

Categories against the sector medianMedian of 714 companies

Profitability25 (median 37)12 below the median
Growth66 (median 53)13 above the median
Fundamentals17 (median 46)29 below the median
Stability28 (median 67)39 below the median
Capital allocation18 (median 39)21 below the median
Technical analysis42 (median 70)28 below the median
Momentum36 (median 71)35 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Medical (Devices)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 90 Medical (Devices) stocks

ETFs that hold NeuroPace

Held by 2 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR0.01%0.30%€4.22B
Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS20.01%0.30%€2.17B

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Apr 2022)
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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