Northrop Grumman stock
NOCNYSENorthrop Grumman Corporation, IndustrialsISIN US6668071029
66Score 66 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
55 / 100
Price history
−1.7% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 6.2% below it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 49).
The price is 29% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 60% (November 2007 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$520.12
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$585.32
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)49
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$473.46
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$768.02
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Northrop Grumman Corporation belongs to the Aerospace & Defense industry (United States) and, with a market value of $78.01B, is number 11 of 114 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $41.95B (up 2.2% year on year) and earnings of $4.18B (up 0.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $44.08B (up 5.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $29.68 (up 17.2%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 66 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 356 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 17.3 (Aerospace & Defense median 31.3, own median of recent years 18.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $748.75, with the price 27% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 44 years.Capital allocation 79
- Share buybacksShare count down 14% since 2020.Capital allocation 79
- Below fair valuePrice 27% below the fair value of $748.75.Valuation 70
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 67 to 66.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $575.96 and expensive above $1,069.64 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $504.30 (cash-flow model) and $993.19 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.9%. At 9.9% the fair value would be $705.18, at 7.9% it would be $814.10.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 6.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 20%, operating 10%, net 10%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 26 Jan 2027in 74 days
- Last reported
- 20 Oct 2026EPS reported $7.89 (expected $7.18)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $29.68+2.6%
- Revenue
- $44.08B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $29.86−1.7%
- Revenue
- $47B−0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +0.3%2026 guidance raised: sales $43.75 billion to $44.25 billion, adjusted EPS $28.60 to $29.10 (up $1.20), book-to-bill at least 1.25.
“We are increasing our mark-to-market adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $28.60-$29.10, an increase of $1.20.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 21 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $106,468 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Northrop Grumman
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 66
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aerospace & Defense
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Lockheed MartinLMT $139.55B72
- BoeingBA $135.94B39
- General DynamicsGD $98.11B73
- Howmet AerospaceHWM $88.72B67
- BAE SystemsBSP.DE $73.42B67
- TransDigm GroupTDG $66.5B73
- Honeywell AerospaceHONA $52.7B72
- ThalesHO.PA $51.77B70
ETFs that hold Northrop Grumman
Held by 75 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invesco Defence Innovation UCITS ETF AccumUSDIVDF | 2.01% | 0.35% | €136.55M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Industrials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDI | 1.36% | 0.15% | €892.63M |
| iShares S&P 500 Industrials Sector UCITS ETF2B7C | 1.35% | 0.15% | €653.43M |
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| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)SPYD | 0.86% | 0.35% | €3.66B |
| Defiance Drone UCITS ETF USDDRON | 0.76% | 0.69% | €32.6M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Industrials UCITS ETF 1CXDWI | 0.76% | 0.25% | €1.22B |
| Xtrackers MSCI North America High Dividend Yield UCITS ETF 1CXDND | 0.50% | 0.39% | €266.63M |
| iShares Edge MSCI World Minimum Volatility UCITS ETF USD (Dist)UEEH | 0.37% | 0.30% | €12.86M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jan 2023)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 13 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.