NIO stock
NIONYSENIO Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US62914V1061
32Score 32 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
40 / 100
Price history
−51% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 8 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 33% below it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 46).
The price is 53% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 8 years: 95% (February 2021 to April 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$3.48
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$4.84
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)46
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$3.19
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$6.87
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- NIO Inc. belongs to the Auto (Manufacturers) industry (China) and, with a market value of $7.72B, is number 41 of 55 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- This is an American depositary receipt (ADR).
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $13.12B (up 33.1% year on year) and a loss of $2.24B.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 32 out of 100 (Weak): rank 593 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $5.01, with the price 35% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 40% a year since 2020, Auto (Manufacturers) median 8.3%.Growth 59
- More cash than debtCash $8.49B, financial debt $4.35B.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 92% since 2020.Capital allocation 18
- Loss-makingLoss of $684.21M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
- High debtDebt 2.03 times equity (latest quarter), Auto (Manufacturers) median 1.09.Stability 26
Its standout strength is valuation, while momentum and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $3.58 and expensive above $8.35 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.3%. At 10.3% the fair value would be $4.67, at 8.3% it would be $5.44.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk, weak balance sheet.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 64.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue turned from negative at the start of the period to positive ($13.12B in the latest year).
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 14%, operating −16%, net −17%. Last 12 months: net −4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Nov 2026in 12 days
- Last reported
- 1 Sep 2026above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 22.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- −0.62−12.1%
- Revenue
- $19.38B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- 0.37−22.0%
- Revenue
- $22.78B−0.7%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −8.7%Q3 outlook: 108,000 to 111,000 deliveries, with positive cash flows expected in the second half and a market recovery expected in Q4.
“In Q3, the total deliveries are expected to range between 108,000 and 111,000 units.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 1 Sep 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at NIO
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 32
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Manufacturers)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- RenaultRNO.PA $9.44B47
- XPengXPEV $9.34B33
- Porsche Automobil HoldingPAH3.DE $8.58B56
- Ather EnergyATHERENERG.NS $7.91B45
- Guangzhou Automobile Group601238.SS $7.49B33
- VinFast AutoVFS $7.23B34
- Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd.600418.SS $6.77B24
- Nissan Motor7201.T $6.1B38
ETFs that hold NIO
Held by 61 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Electric Vehicles and Driving Technology UCITS ETFIEVD | 0.97% | 0.40% | €488.62M |
| UBS Solactive China Technology UCITS ETF USD accUIC2 | 0.91% | 0.47% | €255.87M |
| Invesco Global Clean Energy UCITS ETF AccumUSDG1CE | 0.79% | 0.60% | €87.44M |
Show 5 more
| Amundi MSCI Smart Mobility UCITS ETF AccELCR | 0.54% | 0.45% | €142.4M |
| Amundi MSCI China ESG Selection Extra UCITS ETF AccLCHI | 0.45% | 0.65% | €473.19M |
| iShares Dow Jones China Offshore 50 UCITS ETF (DE)EXXU | 0.45% | 0.62% | €40.6M |
| Amundi Global Luxury UCITS ETF EUR AccGLUX | 0.40% | 0.35% | €411.57M |
| UBS MSCI China Universal UCITS ETF USD disUETC | 0.39% | 0.30% | €134.65M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CN¥6.6707)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Sep 2019)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.