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nCino stock

NCNONASDAQ

nCino, Inc., TechnologyISIN US63947X1019

$22.36▼ $0.03 (−0.1%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

54Score 54 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

80 / 100

Price history

−14% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 23% above it.

Trend change

Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 42).

Distance to the high

The price is 15% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 86% (September 2020 to March 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$21.21
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$18.23
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)42
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$14.01
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$26.29
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$2.36B
Div. yield
no dividend
69.9
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
14.7
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.52 per share)
Fair value
$20.11

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • nCino, Inc. belongs to the Software (Application) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.36B, is number 106 of 188 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $646.06M (up 8.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.32 (up 24.1%).
  • MEQIRI Score 54 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 552 of 854 in Technology, median 61.
Show more
  • Our model puts fair value at $20.11, with the price 11% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 393% of earnings over the last 12 months.

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 29% since 2021.Capital allocation 33
  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.4 times.Stability 46
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 50% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 46
54/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are growth and technical analysis, while capital allocation and valuation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency11% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)393%
ROIC (12 months)4.1%
Positive free cash flow44% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high price swings
  • weak fundamentals
  • high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$22.36
Fair value
$20.11
Gap to fair value
+11%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $14.36 and expensive above $33.52 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $30.21 (cash-flow model) and $10.01 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.2%. At 11.2% the fair value would be $17.93, at 9.2% it would be $23.12.

Valuation metrics

4.74
28.2
Fair value (model)
$20.11
Earnings part $10.01 (earnings per share $0.32 × 31.3)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.3).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

9 years

In the twelve months to 31 Jul 2026, revenue rose 8.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2018, at around 34% per year.

Margins

9 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 61%, operating 1%, net 1%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.36
1.4x
0.85
Cash & equivalents
$83.29M

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
2 Dec 2026in 19 days
Last reported
25 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.30 (expected $0.27)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202711 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.32+0.5%
Revenue
$646.06M0.0%
Fiscal 202811 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.58+0.5%
Revenue
$701.32M0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +2.7%

Fiscal 2027 guidance raised: revenue of $644 million to $647 million, non-GAAP operating income of $171 million to $174 million (before $166 million to $171 million) and free cash flow of $137 million to $142 million.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“For full year fiscal '27, we are again raising our free cash flow guidance to now be $137 million to $142 million, up from our prior range of $135 million to $140 million, representing year-over-year growth of 69% at the midpoint of the range.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 25 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2027), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 5 insiders sold, $4.45M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Desmond SeanSale

    4 Nov 2026, CEO & President

    Shares
    11,757
    Price
    $22.81
    Value
    $268,177
  • Sellers JeanetteSale

    3 Nov 2026, SVP of Accounting

    Shares
    905
    Price
    $22.73
    Value
    $20,571
  • Rieger AprilSale

    3 Nov 2026, Chief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., Secretary

    Shares
    8,008
    Price
    $22.73
    Value
    $182,022
Show 17 more
  • Orenstein GregorySale

    3 Nov 2026, CFO & Treasurer

    Shares
    12,015
    Price
    $22.73
    Value
    $273,101
  • Naude PierreSale

    3 Nov 2026, Board

    Shares
    4,770
    Price
    $22.73
    Value
    $108,422
  • Desmond SeanSale

    3 Nov 2026, CEO & President

    Shares
    29,247
    Price
    $22.73
    Value
    $664,784
  • Desmond SeanSale

    9 Oct 2026, CEO & President

    Shares
    43,992
    Price
    $19.90
    Value
    $875,441
  • Desmond SeanSale

    5 Oct 2026, CEO & President

    Shares
    8,064
    Price
    $18.69
    Value
    $150,716
  • Rieger AprilSale

    15 Sept 2026, Chief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., Secretary

    Shares
    6,098
    Price
    $21.98
    Value
    $134,052
  • Desmond SeanSale

    3 Sept 2026, CEO & President

    Shares
    8,064
    Price
    $23.66
    Value
    $190,794
  • Sellers JeanetteSale

    27 Aug 2026, SVP of Accounting

    Shares
    690
    Price
    $22.71
    Value
    $15,666
  • Sellers JeanetteSale

    5 Aug 2026, SVP of Accounting

    Shares
    1,536
    Price
    $19.53
    Value
    $29,998
  • Desmond SeanSale

    5 Aug 2026, CEO & President

    Shares
    11,815
    Price
    $19.53
    Value
    $230,747
  • Sellers JeanetteSale

    4 Aug 2026, SVP of Accounting

    Shares
    887
    Price
    $19.22
    Value
    $17,046
  • Rieger AprilSale

    4 Aug 2026, Chief Lgl. & Admin Ofc., Secretary

    Shares
    7,852
    Price
    $19.22
    Value
    $150,900
  • Orenstein GregorySale

    4 Aug 2026, CFO & Treasurer

    Shares
    11,780
    Price
    $19.22
    Value
    $226,388
  • Naude PierreSale

    4 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    4,677
    Price
    $19.22
    Value
    $89,883
  • Desmond SeanSale

    4 Aug 2026, CEO & President

    Shares
    28,675
    Price
    $19.22
    Value
    $551,076
  • Desmond SeanSale

    6 Jul 2026, CEO & President

    Shares
    8,064
    Price
    $17.47
    Value
    $140,878
  • Desmond SeanSale

    3 Jun 2026, CEO & President

    Shares
    8,064
    Price
    $16.26
    Value
    $131,121

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at nCino

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

854 rated companies in Technology

Rank 552 of 854
552/ 854
This company
54
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 854 companies44 (median 59)15 below the median
GrowthMedian of 854 companies82 (median 68)14 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 854 companies43 (median 67)24 below the median
ValuationMedian of 784 companies with a value28 (median 52)24 below the median
StabilityMedian of 854 companies46 (median 67)21 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 854 companies33 (median 53)20 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 854 companies80 (median 58)22 above the median
MomentumMedian of 854 companies68 (median 54)14 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Software (Application)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 188 Software (Application) stocks

ETFs that hold nCino

Held by 16 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
WisdomTree Cloud Computing UCITS ETF USD AccWTEJ1.53%0.40%€300.71M
iShares Digitalisation UCITS ETF2B790.10%0.40%€736.08M
L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ0.09%0.30%€185.82M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Jan 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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