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Mueller Water Products stock

MWANYSE

Mueller Water Products, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US6247581084

$24.01▼ $0.22 (−0.9%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

75Score 75 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

58 / 100

Price history

+1.9% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 6.8% below it.

Trend change

Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 66).

Distance to the high

The price is 21% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 92% (June 2007 to March 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$22.58
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$25.76
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)66
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$21.24
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$30.37
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$3.78B
Div. yield
1.2%
12 months
17.1
Fair value
$29.19

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Mueller Water Products, Inc. belongs to the Industrial (Machinery) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.75B, is number 123 of 194 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $1.48B (up 3.2% year on year) and earnings of $221.9M (up 15.8%).
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.5B (up 1.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.57 (up 0%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 75 out of 100 (Strong): rank 60 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
  • The P/E is 17 (Industrial (Machinery) median 24.1, own median of recent years 21.8).
  • Our model puts fair value at $29.19, with the price 17% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings per share growingUp 26.4% a year since 2021.Growth 75
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 20 years.Capital allocation 78
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.Fundamentals 89

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

75/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are stability and fundamentals.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)104%
ROIC (12 months)21.7%
Positive free cash flow80% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly undervalued
Price
$24.23
Fair value
$29.19
Gap to fair value
−17%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $22.46 and expensive above $41.70 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $24.35 (cash-flow model) and $34.03 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $27.18, at 7.8% it would be $32.20.

Valuation metrics

137.5
10.7
Fair value (model)
$29.19
Earnings part $34.03 (earnings per share $1.41 × 24.1)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (24.1).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In fiscal 2026, revenue rose 3.2% on the prior year. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2007.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 38%, operating 20%, net 15%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.39
76.5x
4.45
Cash & equivalents
$566M

The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
4 Feb 2027in 84 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.38 (expected $0.37)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20274 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.570.0%
Revenue
$1.5B0.0%
Fiscal 20282 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.570.0%
Revenue
$1.52B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +0.9%

Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised for the third time to $367 million to $372 million (margin about 25.1%), with net sales growth narrowed to 2.8% to 3.5%.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Based on our record performance through the first 9 months of the year and confidence in our ability to execute for the rest of the year, we are raising our annual adjusted EBITDA guidance to a new range of $367 million to $372 million.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $59,984 in total. 5 insiders sold, $3.04M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

Not counted: one purchase under a fixed plan (compensation, savings plan or a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan).

  • Healy Brian C.Plan purchase

    7 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,376
    Price
    $21.75
    Value
    $29,927
  • Helms Todd PSale

    1 Sept 2026, other: Former Officer/Senior Advisor

    Shares
    9,997
    Price
    $23.67
    Value
    $236,593
  • Ortiz ChristineSale

    1 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    550
    Price
    $23.93
    Value
    $13,162
Show 6 more
  • Ortiz ChristineSale

    31 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    12,048
    Price
    $24.23
    Value
    $291,866
  • Feyerherm Richelle R.Sale

    26 Aug 2026, VP, CAO and Corp. Controller

    Shares
    3,000
    Price
    $25.00
    Value
    $75,000
  • McAndrew PaulSale

    10 Aug 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    40,000
    Price
    $26.39
    Value
    $1.06M
  • Healy Brian C.Purchase

    7 Jul 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,183
    Price
    $25.33
    Value
    $29,965
  • Zakas Marietta EdmundsSale

    28 May 2026, Former Officer and Director

    Shares
    54,254
    Price
    $25.26
    Value
    $1.37M
  • Healy Brian C.Purchase

    15 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,166
    Price
    $25.75
    Value
    $30,019

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Mueller Water Products

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

1023 rated companies in Industrials

Rank 60 of 1023
60/ 1023
This company
75
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 1,023 companies77 (median 53)24 above the median
GrowthMedian of 1,023 companies75 (median 63)12 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 1,023 companies89 (median 71)18 above the median
ValuationMedian of 977 companies with a value63 (median 64)1 below the median
StabilityMedian of 1,023 companies90 (median 65)25 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 1,023 companies78 (median 55)23 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 1,023 companies58 (median 60)2 below the median
MomentumMedian of 1,023 companies59 (median 59)0 at the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Industrial (Machinery)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 194 Industrial (Machinery) stocks

ETFs that hold Mueller Water Products

Held by 17 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
L&G Clean Water UCITS ETFXMLC1.84%0.49%€588.26M
Amundi MSCI Water UCITS ETF DistLYM81.29%0.60%€1.65B
iShares Global Water UCITS ETFIQQQ1.27%0.65%€1.95B
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 30 Sep 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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