Meier Tobler Group stock: fair value
MTG.SWThe fair value of Meier Tobler Group under our model is $29.96, the price is 81% above.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $23.04 and expensive above $42.80 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 5.6%. At 6.6% the fair value would be $25.02, at 4.6% it would be $37.36.
Where the number comes from
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 0.6%. Discounted at 5.6% (floor: government bond yield 0.6% plus 5 percentage points, since beta 1.03 times the risk premium would give less); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $29.96 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 5.6%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 5.6%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $17.59M | extrapolated at −3.7% | 0.9470 | $16.66M |
| 2027 | $17.17M | extrapolated at −2.4% | 0.8968 | $15.39M |
| 2028 | $16.9M | extrapolated at −1.5% | 0.8492 | $14.36M |
| 2029 | $16.76M | extrapolated at −0.9% | 0.8042 | $13.47M |
| 2030 | $16.68M | extrapolated at −0.4% | 0.7615 | $12.7M |
| 2031 | $16.66M | extrapolated at −0.1% | 0.7211 | $12.01M |
| 2032 | $16.68M | extrapolated at 0.1% | 0.6829 | $11.39M |
| 2033 | $16.72M | extrapolated at 0.2% | 0.6467 | $10.81M |
| 2034 | $16.78M | extrapolated at 0.4% | 0.6124 | $10.27M |
| 2035 | $16.85M | extrapolated at 0.4% | 0.5799 | $9.77M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $126.84M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 0.6%) / (5.6% − 0.6%) | $338.95M |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.5799) | $196.56M |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $323.4M |
| Shares (diluted) | 10.80M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $29.96 |
| Fair value (from the cash flow model alone) | $29.96 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = CHF 0.8331)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 15 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.