MSC Industrial Direct stock
MSMNYSEMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., IndustrialsISIN US5535301064
66Score 66 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
65 / 100
Price history
+35% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 9.2% above it.
Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 62).
The price is 9.0% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 56% (February 2017 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$122.83
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$110.67
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)62
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$81.08
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$132.82
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. belongs to the Industrial (Distribution) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $6.75B, is number 17 of 38 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $4.01B (up 6.4% year on year) and earnings of $222.59M (up 11.7%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.35B (up 8.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $5.65 (up 20.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 66 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 359 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 30.4 (Industrial (Distribution) median 26, own median of recent years 16.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $123.35, with the price 2% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 23 years.Capital allocation 69
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.Fundamentals 88
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 3.62%, Industrial (Distribution) median 1.66%.Capital allocation 69
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and stability, while valuation and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- calm price action
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $94.89 and expensive above $176.22 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $143.23 (cash-flow model) and $103.48 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $111.24, at 7.8% it would be $141.54.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (26).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue rose 6.4% on the prior year. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 5% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 41%, operating 8%, net 6%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 6 Jan 2027in 55 days
- Last reported
- 22 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.45 (expected $1.41)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $5.65+1.5%
- Revenue
- $4.35B+1.2%
- Earnings per share
- $6.62+2.1%
- Revenue
- $4.61B+1.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +3.2%For Q4, average daily sales growth of 6.5% to 8.5% and an adjusted operating margin of 10% to 10.8% are expected; capex was reduced and free cash flow conversion now rises to about 95% from 90%.
“For the fourth quarter outlook — to reflect quarter-to-date trends including daily sales in fiscal June expected to grow approximately 7% and more difficult comparisons with prior year, we are anticipating average daily sales improvement of 6.5% to 8.5% compared to the prior year, gross margins to follow the …”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 1 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $29.03M in total.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at MSC Industrial Direct
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 66
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Industrial (Distribution)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Finning InternationalFTT.TO $8.32B63
- Beijer RefBEIJ-B.ST $8.23B61
- PoolPOOL $7.71B72
- XometryXMTR $6.88B45
- SiteOne Landscape SupplySITE $4.93B59
- Resideo TechnologiesREZI $3.49B55
- Dätwyler HoldingDAE.SW $2.77B57
- BufabBUFAB.ST $2.58B69
ETFs that hold MSC Industrial Direct
Held by 17 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend UCITS ETF (DE)EXX5 | 0.45% | 0.31% | €415.03M |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.43% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.40% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
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| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.14% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| Franklin U.S. Equity UCITS ETFFLXU | 0.10% | 0.20% | €55.89M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.06% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.04% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.02% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 29 Aug 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Mar 2024)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.