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Merck KGaA stock

MRK.DEXETRA

HealthcareISIN DE0006599905WKN 659990

$164.85▼ $3.84 (−2.3%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

68Score 68 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

79 / 100

Price history

+28% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 14% above it.

Trend change

Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 62).

Distance to the high

The price is 2.3% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 55% (December 2021 to March 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$155.97
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$145.16
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)62
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$114.39
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$168.69
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$73.34B
Div. yield
1.45%
12 months
27.8
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
16.9
on earnings for the next twelve months ($9.98 per share)
Fair value
$139.36

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Merck KGaA belongs to the Drug Manufacturers (Specialty & Generic) industry (Germany) and, with a market value of $71.67B, is the largest of 78 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $23.48B (down 0.3% year on year) and earnings of $2.9B (down 6.1%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $23.96B (up 2.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $9.45 (up 1.8%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 68 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 172 of 714 in Healthcare, median 53.
  • The P/E is 27.2 (Drug Manufacturers (Specialty & Generic) median 19.3, own median of recent years 25).
  • Our model puts fair value at $139.36, with the price 21% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 16 years.Capital allocation 62
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 85
  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 111% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 85

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

68/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are momentum and fundamentals, while growth and valuation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)111%
ROIC (12 months)8.6%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk low

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals
  • price near its 52-week high

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$168.69
Fair value
$139.36
Gap to fair value
+21%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $107.20 and expensive above $199.08 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $161.41 (cash-flow model) and $117.30 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.1%. At 8.1% the fair value would be $125.10, at 6.1% it would be $160.80.

Valuation metrics

3.57
12
Fair value (model)
$139.36
Earnings part $117.30 (earnings per share $6.07 × 19.3)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.3).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue fell 0.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 9% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 56%, operating 19%, net 12%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.41
13.6x
1.69
Cash & equivalents
$2.18B

The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
4 Mar 2027in 112 days
Last reported
12 Nov 2026EPS reported $2.63 (expected $2.47)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202612 analysts
Earnings per share
$9.45+1.0%
Revenue
$23.96B+0.3%
Fiscal 202712 analysts
Earnings per share
$10.06+1.0%
Revenue
$25.32B+0.5%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −0.9%

Guidance was raised to organic sales growth of 1% to 3% from 0% to 3%, EBITDA pre of EUR 5.9 billion to EUR 6.3 billion from EUR 5.7 billion to EUR 6.1 billion, and EPS pre of EUR 7.90 to EUR 8.60 from EUR 7.50 to EUR 8.20.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“For EBITDA pre, we now expect EUR 5.9 billion to EUR 6.3 billion compared with EUR 5.7 billion to EUR 6.1 billion previously. This reflects an organic development of 0% to 3% compared with minus 2% to plus 2% before.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

What happened at Merck KGaA

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

714 rated companies in Healthcare

Rank 172 of 714
172/ 714
This company
68
Sector median
53

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 714 companies60 (median 37)23 above the median
GrowthMedian of 714 companies46 (median 53)7 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 714 companies85 (median 46)39 above the median
ValuationMedian of 477 companies with a value43 (median 54)11 below the median
StabilityMedian of 714 companies83 (median 67)16 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 714 companies62 (median 39)23 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 714 companies79 (median 70)9 above the median
MomentumMedian of 714 companies88 (median 71)17 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Drug Manufacturers (Specialty & Generic)

The next smaller companies by market value

All 78 Drug Manufacturers (Specialty & Generic) stocks

ETFs that hold Merck KGaA

Held by 160 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 24 Apr 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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