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MP Materials stock

MPNYSE

MP Materials Corp., Basic MaterialsISIN US5533681012

$37.48▲ $0.75 (+2.0%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

30Score 30 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

40 / 100

Price history

−37% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 30% below it.

Trend change

Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 48).

Distance to the high

The price is 48% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 82% (April 2022 to August 2024).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$44.23
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$53.84
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)48
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$33.74
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$72.65
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$6.54B
Div. yield
no dividend
Loss
71.1
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.52 per share)
Fair value
no data

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • MP Materials Corp. belongs to the Industrial Materials industry (United States) and, with a market value of $6.67B, is number 17 of 44 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $224.44M (up 10.1% year on year) and a loss of $85.87M.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $446.69M (up 99%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.05.
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 30 out of 100 (Weak): rank 445 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • More cash than debtCash $1.34B, financial debt $936.25M.Stability 50
  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 10.8% a year since 2020, Industrial Materials median 6.6%.Growth 70

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 113% since 2020.Capital allocation 18
  • Loss-makingLoss of $39.55M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
  • Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$537.27M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
30/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strength is growth, while momentum and valuation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency38% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)−2.8%
Positive free cash flow25% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals
  • high price swings
  • price far below its 52-week high

What lowers it

  • price not overheated over the past year

Valuation

Valuation signal

Overvalued
Price
$36.73
Fair value
not computable
Gap to fair value
no data

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

No fair value can be calculated for this stock, so the signal follows the valuation grade.

Valuation metrics

no data
57.3
Fair value (model)
no data

No fair value can be calculated for this stock from the available figures.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

8 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 71.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2018, at around 19% per year.

Margins

8 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross −26%, operating −65%, net −38%. Last 12 months: net −10%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.4
−2.7x
6.75
Cash & equivalents
$1.34B

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
25 Feb 2027in 105 days
Last reported
5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.04 (expected −$0.02)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 942.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 202610 analysts
Earnings per share
−$0.05−942.4%
Revenue
$446.69M−0.9%
Fiscal 202710 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.61−12.0%
Revenue
$775.44M+0.4%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +6.7%

No change in outlook: significant volume growth expected next quarter, commercial magnet shipments from the fourth quarter, and Materials sales volumes about flat.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“As Jim also noted, we expect initial commercial magnet deliveries to start within the fourth quarter, beginning with modest volumes with capacity ramping over the following quarters.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases
Cluster buy

3 insiders bought on the open market between 10 Nov 2026 and 11 Nov 2026, $3.35M in total. One insider sold, $50.57M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Rosenthal Michael StuartPurchase

    11 Nov 2026, Chief Operating Officer

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $37.30
    Value
    $186,500
  • Rosenthal Michael StuartPurchase

    10 Nov 2026, Chief Operating Officer

    Shares
    27,000
    Price
    $36.61
    Value
    $988,590
  • Weisenburger Randall JPurchase

    10 Nov 2026, Board

    Shares
    55,000
    Price
    $36.00
    Value
    $1.98M
Show 8 more
  • Corbett RyanPurchase

    10 Nov 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    5,476
    Price
    $36.25
    Value
    $198,516
  • Rosenthal Michael StuartPurchase

    9 Jun 2026, Chief Operating Officer

    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $54.30
    Value
    $543,000
  • Litinsky James H.Sale

    3 Jun 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    185,167
    Price
    $69.14
    Value
    $12.8M
  • Litinsky James H.Sale

    29 May 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    50,000
    Price
    $64.58
    Value
    $3.23M
  • Litinsky James H.Sale

    28 May 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    234,651
    Price
    $65.87
    Value
    $15.46M
  • Litinsky James H.Sale

    27 May 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    115,349
    Price
    $65.37
    Value
    $7.54M
  • Rosenthal Michael StuartPurchase

    20 May 2026, Chief Operating Officer

    Shares
    17,000
    Price
    $56.62
    Value
    $962,540
  • Litinsky James H.Sale

    13 May 2026, Chairman and CEO

    Shares
    177,188
    Price
    $65.13
    Value
    $11.54M

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

Sector comparison

467 rated companies in Basic Materials

Rank 445 of 467
445/ 467
This company
30
Sector median
58

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 467 companies14 (median 49)35 below the median
GrowthMedian of 467 companies70 (median 54)16 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 467 companies17 (median 65)48 below the median
ValuationMedian of 426 companies with a value10 (median 69)59 below the median
StabilityMedian of 467 companies50 (median 67)17 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 467 companies18 (median 52)34 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 467 companies40 (median 54)14 below the median
MomentumMedian of 467 companies13 (median 51)38 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Industrial Materials

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 44 Industrial Materials stocks

ETFs that hold MP Materials

Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jan 2024)
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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