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Moncler stock

MONC.MIMIL

Moncler S.p.A., Consumer CyclicalISIN IT0004965148

$48.58▼ $0.16 (−0.3%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

72Score 72 out of 100, Strong

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Price and trend

47 / 100

Price history

−25% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 13 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 12% below it.

Trend change

Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 56).

Distance to the high

The price is 25% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 13 years: 47% (December 2021 to June 2022).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$48.75
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$55.29
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)56
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$46.67
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$64.89
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$13.21B
Div. yield
3.19%
12 months
18.9
17.6
on earnings for the next twelve months ($2.76 per share)
Fair value
$49.33

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Moncler S.p.A. belongs to the Apparel (Manufacturers) industry (Italy) and, with a market value of $13.21B, is number 4 of 22 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.47B (up 0.7% year on year) and earnings of $694.41M (down 2%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.56B (up 2.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.58 (up 2.4%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 72 out of 100 (Strong): rank 123 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 18.9 (Apparel (Manufacturers) median 19.6, own median of recent years 24.2).
  • Our model puts fair value at $49.33, with the price 2% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 16.8% a year since 2020, Apparel (Manufacturers) median 10%.Growth 82
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 94
  • High marginNet margin 20% over the last 12 months, Apparel (Manufacturers) median 5.6%.Profitability 84

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

72/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are fundamentals and stability, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)125%
ROIC (12 months)17.1%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$48.58
Fair value
$49.33
Gap to fair value
−2%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $37.95 and expensive above $70.47 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $48.21 (cash-flow model) and $50.44 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.6%. At 10.6% the fair value would be $45.99, at 8.6% it would be $53.97.

Valuation metrics

2.58
10
Fair value (model)
$49.33
Earnings part $50.44 (earnings per share $2.57 × 19.6)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.6).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

16 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2010, at around 14% per year.

Margins

16 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 78%, operating 29%, net 20%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.34
21.7x
2.3
Cash & equivalents
$568.32M

The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
18 Feb 2027in 97 days
Last reported
22 Jul 2026EPS reported $0.68 (expected $0.66)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202623 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.58−1.0%
Revenue
$3.56B−0.6%
Fiscal 202723 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.79−1.3%
Revenue
$3.81B−0.7%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: −7.8%

No guidance change: the marketing budget stays at around 7% of revenue and capex is expected to return to about 6% of revenue.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Marketing expenses in line with last year, 9.5% with our usual expectation, we didn't change of 7% contribution of our marketing budget for the year end.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 22 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

What happened at Moncler

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 123 of 596
123/ 596
This company
72
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 596 companies84 (median 53)31 above the median
GrowthMedian of 596 companies82 (median 60)22 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 596 companies94 (median 73)21 above the median
ValuationMedian of 575 companies with a value59 (median 73)14 below the median
StabilityMedian of 596 companies87 (median 62)25 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 596 companies66 (median 59)7 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 596 companies47 (median 62)15 below the median
MomentumMedian of 596 companies30 (median 60)30 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Apparel (Manufacturers)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 22 Apparel (Manufacturers) stocks

ETFs that hold Moncler

Held by 146 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Amundi Global Luxury UCITS ETF EUR AccGLUX1.56%0.35%€412.76M
UBS Factor MSCI EMU Quality Screened UCITS ETF EUR disUIM21.48%0.25%€105.49M
Xtrackers FTSE MIB UCITS ETF 1DDBXI1.46%0.30%€99.81M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 22 Aug 2025)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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