Moltiply Group stock: fair value
MOL.MIThe fair value of Moltiply Group under our model is $51.65, the price is 19% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $36.89 and expensive above $86.08 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $87.93 (cash-flow model) and $15.37 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.1%. At 11.1% the fair value would be $45.49, at 9.1% it would be $60.05.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.8).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 3.5%. Discounted at 10.1% (government bond yield 3.5% plus beta 0.98 times a risk premium of 6.7%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $87.93 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 10.1%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 10.1%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $144.36M | extrapolated at 25.9% | 0.9086 | $131.17M |
| 2027 | $172.01M | extrapolated at 19.2% | 0.8256 | $142.02M |
| 2028 | $196.88M | extrapolated at 14.5% | 0.7502 | $147.7M |
| 2029 | $218.89M | extrapolated at 11.2% | 0.6816 | $149.2M |
| 2030 | $238.31M | extrapolated at 8.9% | 0.6194 | $147.6M |
| 2031 | $255.63M | extrapolated at 7.3% | 0.5628 | $143.86M |
| 2032 | $271.32M | extrapolated at 6.1% | 0.5114 | $138.74M |
| 2033 | $285.84M | extrapolated at 5.4% | 0.4646 | $132.81M |
| 2034 | $299.55M | extrapolated at 4.8% | 0.4222 | $126.47M |
| 2035 | $312.77M | extrapolated at 4.4% | 0.3836 | $119.98M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $1.38B |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 3.5%) / (10.1% − 3.5%) | $4.95B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.3836) | $1.9B |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $3.28B |
| Shares (diluted) | 37.27M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $87.93 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $1.30 |
| × 11.8 (industry P/E) | $15.37 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $51.65 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 5 Jun 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.